Kansas City @ Los Angeles Picks & Props
KC vs LAD Picks
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KC vs LAD Consensus Picks
67% picking LA Dodgers
Total PicksKC 268, LAD 555
KC vs LAD Props
Nelson Velázquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Nelson Velazquez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Dodger Stadium. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Utilizing Statcast data, Nelson Velazquez is in the 86th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .346.
Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Cavan Biggio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Cavan Biggio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Cavan Biggio will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Gavin Lux will have an edge in today's game. Gavin Lux hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Gavin Lux will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Jason Heyward will have an advantage today. Jason Heyward will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jason Heyward ranks in the 76th percentile with a 15.7° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.
Dairon Blanco Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Dairon Blanco hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Using Statcast data, Dairon Blanco grades out in the 83rd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .273.
Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Garrett Hampson's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Garrett Hampson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Garrett Hampson ranks in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (49.7% rate since the start of last season).
Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
As it relates to his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 4th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Dodger Stadium. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Nick Loftin Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Dodger Stadium. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Nick Loftin's quickness has improved this season. His 27.23 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.82 ft/sec now. By putting up a 1.75 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nick Loftin has demonstrated good plate discipline, ranking in the 88th percentile.
Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Yoshinobu Yamamoto will have the handedness advantage against Maikel Garcia in today's game. Maikel Garcia has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Since the start of last season, Maikel Garcia's 4.5% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 15th percentile among his peers.
Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Freddy Fermin has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Dodger Stadium. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Based on Statcast metrics, Freddy Fermin is in the 92nd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .288.
Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 14th-best batter in baseball when estimating his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today.
Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Yoshinobu Yamamoto will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bobby Witt Jr.'s true offensive ability to be a .360, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .029 disparity between that mark and his actual .389 wOBA.
Austin Barnes Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Austin Barnes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Austin Barnes will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage against Mookie Betts in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team on the slate today.
Andy Pages Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Andy Pages is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Dodger Stadium. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage today.
Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Dodger Stadium. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of the day. Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand today.
Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge today.
MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
When assessing his overall offensive skill, MJ Melendez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.375) implies that MJ Melendez has had some very poor luck this year with his .241 actual wOBA.
Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
KC vs LAD Trends
Kansas City Trends
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Run Line in 25 of their last 42 games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 48 games (+5.70 Units / 10% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 58% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 24 games (-9.65 Units / -37% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.85 Units / 16% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 27% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.65 Units / 7% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 32 games (-18.30 Units / -32% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 28 games at home (-13.60 Units / -41% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 57 games (-12.45 Units / -12% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 47 games (-11.60 Units / -22% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 32 games at home (-6.50 Units / -17% ROI)
KC vs LAD Top User Picks
Kansas City Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +21380 |
| 2 | CHEOAPONTE | 4-6-0 | +19625 |
| 3 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +15915 |
| 4 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +13570 |
| 5 | Mava5 | 7-3-0 | +13310 |
| 6 | jerrygora | 3-7-0 | +12980 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +12595 |
| 8 | Yellafella59 | 7-3-0 | +12435 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 5-5-0 | +12285 |
| 10 | Mexicali72 | 3-7-0 | +12020 |
| All Royals Money Leaders | |||
LA Dodgers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||