Tampa Bay @ Miami Picks & Props
TB vs MIA Picks
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TB vs MIA Consensus Picks
69% picking Tampa Bay
Total PicksTB 513, MIA 231
TB vs MIA Props
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. The #3 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.
Harold Ramírez Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Ramirez as the 18th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average skill. The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Harold Ramirez will have the handedness advantage over Braxton Garrett today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Despite posting a .270 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Harold Ramirez has had bad variance on his side given the .044 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.
Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
As it relates to his batting average skill, Amed Rosario is projected as the 17th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Amed Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's game. Amed Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
Yandy Díaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 13th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Yandy Diaz will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.
Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gordon in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The #3 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Nick Gordon will have the upper hand in today's game. Nick Gordon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Gordon will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's game. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, putting up a .211 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .073 difference.
Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami
When estimating his BABIP talent, Tim Anderson is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Tim Anderson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tim Anderson's true offensive ability to be a .288, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .090 disparity between that mark and his actual .198 wOBA.
Ben Rortvedt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The #3 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Ben Rortvedt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. With a 1.83 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Ben Rortvedt has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 85th percentile.
Vidal Brujan Total Hits Props • Miami
The #3 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Zach Eflin. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Vidal Brujan will hold that advantage in today's game.
Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jose Siri will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Jose Siri has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .189 mark is inflated compared to his .184 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.
Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #3 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Brandon Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.
Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's game. Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Jose Caballero will have an advantage today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the league. With a .328 BABIP since the start of last season, Jose Caballero is ranked in the 87th percentile.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today's game.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
Otto Lopez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Otto Lopez is very quick, grading out in the 78th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.17 ft/sec this year.
Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Isaac Paredes will have an edge today. Extreme flyball bats like Isaac Paredes usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Braxton Garrett. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #3 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's game. Checking in at the 83rd percentile, the hardest ball Josh Bell has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 114 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has had bad variance on his side given the .070 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328. Using Statcast data, Jake Burger ranks in the 95th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .378.
Alex Jackson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. Alex Jackson will have the handedness advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The #3 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Josh Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
TB vs MIA Trends
Tampa Bay Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 57 games (+20.75 Units / 31% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.80 Units / 29% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.80 Units / 40% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 52 games (+3.40 Units / 6% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 58 games (-31.15 Units / -43% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 44 games (-19.80 Units / -33% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 39 games (-19.40 Units / -39% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 58 games (-11.20 Units / -16% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 24 away games (-7.35 Units / -28% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+12.15 Units / 33% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.25 Units / 14% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+8.55 Units / 13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 27% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+4.40 Units / 15% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 56 games (-16.30 Units / -25% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 33 games at home (-14.95 Units / -41% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 43 games (-13.85 Units / -26% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 60 games (-12.90 Units / -18% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 32 games at home (-10.50 Units / -27% ROI)
TB vs MIA Top User Picks
Tampa Bay Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | funaki | 7-3-0 | +19280 |
| 2 | pokersquirrel | 2-7-1 | +17755 |
| 3 | kowalabear | 8-2-0 | +15775 |
| 4 | vladislav1968 | 5-4-1 | +15330 |
| 5 | kenpitch | 5-4-1 | +13015 |
| 6 | Smmiou07 | 7-2-1 | +12845 |
| 7 | adgadg222 | 5-4-1 | +12550 |
| 8 | Mexicali72 | 4-6-0 | +11420 |
| 9 | brandydump1 | 6-4-0 | +11345 |
| 10 | mm76ers | 5-5-0 | +11325 |
| All Rays Money Leaders | |||
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||