Arizona @ Texas Picks & Props

Corey Seager hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Considering Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, Evan Carter will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Evan Carter will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) provides evidence that Evan Carter has had bad variance on his side this year with his .188 actual batting average. Evan Carter is quite quick, ranking in the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.73 ft/sec this year.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup... and moreover, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. Hitters such as Nathaniel Lowe with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Given Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, Travis Jankowski will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Extreme groundball batters like Travis Jankowski are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Travis Jankowski will hold that advantage in today's game.

Josh Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Considering Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, Josh Smith will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Josh Smith will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Adolis Garcia will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Duran will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. By putting up a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ezequiel Duran grades out in the 75th percentile for hitting ability. Ezequiel Duran has recorded a .280 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ezequiel Duran's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 115.2 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Jake McCarthy's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Jake McCarthy will hold the platoon advantage over Dane Dunning today... and even better, Dunning has a large platoon split. Jake McCarthy is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP.

Jonah Heim will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Jonah Heim and his 18.3% rank in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage over Dane Dunning today... and even more favorably, Dunning has a large platoon split. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Leody Taveras has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Given Dane Dunning's large platoon split, Joc Pederson will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joc Pederson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning in today's game... and even better, Dunning has a large platoon split. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pavin Smith can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Christian Walker has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Ketel Marte has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Wyatt Langford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.