Milwaukee @ Boston props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 4th-driest conditions on the slate today at 40%. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team on the slate today. Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, posting a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .030 difference. Sporting a .211 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Jarren Duran is positioned in the 11th percentile.

This year, Brice Turang has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 4th-driest conditions on the slate today at 40%. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Brice Turang has been lucky this year, compiling a .336 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .041 discrepancy.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 4th-driest conditions on the slate today at 40%. Batting from the same side that Nick Pivetta throws from, William Contreras will be in a tough position today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for William Contreras in today's game. William Contreras has been lucky this year, putting up a .405 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .061 deviation.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 4th-driest conditions on the slate today at 40%. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Yelich in today's game. This year, there has been a decline in Christian Yelich's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.07 ft/sec last year to 27.58 ft/sec currently. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Yelich's true offensive ability to be a .342, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .074 gap between that mark and his actual .416 wOBA.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 4th-driest conditions on the slate today at 40%. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team on the slate today. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Rafael Devers and his 38.5% since the start of last season rank in the 14th percentile by this measure.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 4th-driest conditions on the slate today at 40%. Colin Rea will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Wong today. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team on the slate today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Connor Wong's true offensive ability to be a .303, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .075 difference between that figure and his actual .378 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Romy Gonzalez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Romy Gonzalez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Romy Gonzalez will hold that advantage today.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Blake Perkins has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Jackson Chourio's BABIP ability is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jackson Chourio has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Chourio is notably athletic, placing in the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.12 ft/sec this year.

Jake Bauers is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage today. Jake Bauers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jake Bauers's 18.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 97th percentile since the start of last season.

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today. Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest left field dimensions among all parks are found in Fenway Park. Tyler O'Neill will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Ceddanne Rafaela has been unlucky this year, putting up a .243 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .044 disparity.

Vaughn Grissom's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Vaughn Grissom has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Vaughn Grissom will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.276) suggests that Vaughn Grissom has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .212 actual batting average.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest RF fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage today. Wilyer Abreu's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 26.74 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.51 ft/sec now.

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Gary Sanchez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. David Hamilton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today's matchup. David Hamilton has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today's game. Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Dominic Smith and his 15.9° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 85th percentile, among the highest in MLB since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Willy Adames pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Willy Adames's 12.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season.