Cincinnati @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Tyler Stephenson's 94.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to assess power) ranks in the 78th percentile since the start of last season. Tyler Stephenson grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.2% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Tyler Stephenson's launch angle since the start of last season (26.1°) is in the 83rd percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Kike Hernandez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kike Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.322) suggests that Kike Hernandez has been unlucky this year with his .264 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Dodger Stadium has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Spencer Steer grades out in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.5% rate since the start of last season). Spencer Steer is remarkably fast, ranking in the 76th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.06 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Walker Buehler in today's matchup. Elly De La Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Elly De La Cruz's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to assess power) has been 119.2 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 99th percentile.

Mike Ford is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Mike Ford will have an edge in today's game. Posting a .336 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Mike Ford grades out in the 78th percentile for hitting ability. Since the start of last season, Mike Ford's 17.3% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 96th percentile among his peers. Mike Ford's 20.9° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in Major League Baseball: 93rd percentile.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Teoscar Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Teoscar Hernandez has been very fortunate this year. His .243 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .230. Teoscar Hernandez's 13.8% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) is in the 90th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Dodger Stadium has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Sporting a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jonathan India grades out in the 75th percentile for offensive ability. The standard deviation of Jonathan India's launch angle since the start of last season (26.3°) is in the 81st percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits. Jonathan India has shown favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 88th percentile with a 1.52 K/BB rate.

Jeimer Candelario grades out in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).

Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage over Graham Ashcraft today. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Gavin Lux will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.290) provides evidence that Gavin Lux has had bad variance on his side this year with his .236 actual wOBA.

Will Benson is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Will Benson will have an edge today. Will Benson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Will Benson has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .192 BA is a fair amount higher than his .183 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Will Benson's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to measure power) is in the 84th percentile at 94.8 mph.

Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Jake Fraley will have the upper hand today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.345) implies that Jake Fraley has suffered from bad luck this year with his .303 actual wOBA. Jake Fraley's 16.3° launch angle (a reliable metric to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the majors: 79th percentile.

The weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-best pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the same side that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Mookie Betts faces a tough challenge in today's game. Mookie Betts has been lucky this year, compiling a .429 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .379 — a .050 discrepancy.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Dodger Stadium has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Freddie Freeman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Andy Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Dodger Stadium has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Extreme groundball hitters like Andy Pages usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Graham Ashcraft. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.41 ft/sec this year, Andy Pages is notably toolsy.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Jason Heyward will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jason Heyward ranks in the 76th percentile with a 15.7° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in MLB. Jason Heyward has notched a .343 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.329) may lead us to conclude that Miguel Rojas has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .278 actual wOBA.

Dodger Stadium has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Conner Capel will have an advantage in today's game. Conner Capel is in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (51.1% rate since the start of last season).

Dodger Stadium has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Jacob Hurtubise will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game.

Shohei Ohtani has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.