Washington @ Atlanta Picks & Props
WAS vs ATL Picks
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WAS vs ATL Consensus Picks
WAS vs ATL Props
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams playing today. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 33.6% to 39.6%.
Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The 3rd-deepest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Truist Park. Jackson Rutledge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna has been lucky this year, putting up a .382 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .351 — a .031 deviation.
Carter Kieboom Total Hits Props • Washington
Carter Kieboom is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Carter Kieboom will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Dodd today... and moreover, Dodd has a large platoon split. Carter Kieboom hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams playing today.
Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his weak side (0) today against Jackson Rutledge In the past week, Ozzie Albies's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%. Ozzie Albies has been lucky this year, notching a .360 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .347 — a .013 gap.
Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Alex Call will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Dodd in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Dodd has a large platoon split. Alex Call hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams playing today. Alex Call's quickness has improved this year. His 28.38 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.83 ft/sec now.
Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his worse side (0) today against Dylan Dodd... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Dodd's large platoon split. In today's matchup, Keibert Ruiz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.7% rate (95th percentile). Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Keibert Ruiz's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 89.8 mph to 85.5 mph.
Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Matt Olson projects as the 11th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage against Jackson Rutledge in today's game.
Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Rutledge in today's game. Eddie Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Eddie Rosario has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 31.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.1°.
WAS vs ATL Trends
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 142 games (+19.55 Units / 13% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 80 away games (+13.45 Units / 14% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.48 Units / 35% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 away games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 32 away games (-12.96 Units / -34% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 31 away games (-12.00 Units / -35% ROI)
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 86 of their last 150 games (+18.80 Units / 11% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 52 games at home (+12.84 Units / 21% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 104 games (+9.65 Units / 5% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 47 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 152 games (-35.55 Units / -21% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 52 games at home (-19.81 Units / -34% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 50 games at home (-12.35 Units / -21% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 18 games at home (-8.08 Units / -22% ROI)
WAS vs ATL Top User Picks
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||