Boston @ Baltimore Picks & Props

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford today. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Cedric Mullins II will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Extreme groundball bats like Trevor Story are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Gibson. Trevor Story's launch angle in recent games (25.8° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 15.4° seasonal mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.314) implies that Trevor Story has been unlucky this year with his .252 actual wOBA.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Bobby Dalbec has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .286 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .308.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 20th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. The deepest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Kyle Gibson will have the handedness advantage against Ceddanne Rafaela in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Aaron Hicks pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Aaron Hicks will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today. Grading out in the 91st percentile, Austin Hays has posted a .345 BABIP this year.

Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Adley Rutschman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Enmanuel Valdez will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Gibson today. Enmanuel Valdez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Over the last week, Enmanuel Valdez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 16.7%. Enmanuel Valdez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph to 94.7-mph over the past 7 days.