Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. J.T. Realmuto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Zack Wheeler. Over the past two weeks, Bryan Reynolds's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.9%.

The #6 stadium in the game for suppressing base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. This matchup is forecasted to have the 3rd-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Luis Ortiz will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm today.

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.

Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Jack Suwinski will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Jack Suwinski's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 102.9-mph in recent games. Jack Suwinski's launch angle this year (22.7°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.4° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alfonso Rivas in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Alfonso Rivas will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler today. Alfonso Rivas has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Ortiz in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo as the 16th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Jared Triolo is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Jared Triolo has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 6.5% seasonal rate to 23.8% over the last 14 days. In the last 14 days, Jared Triolo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.6-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Last year, Ke'Bryan Hayes had an average launch angle of 1.1° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 7.9°. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 16.1% on the season to 28.6% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ji Hwan Bae in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Ji Hwan Bae has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Ji Hwan Bae will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's game. Ji Hwan Bae has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Endy Rodriguez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph dropping to 86.8-mph in the last 14 days. Endy Rodriguez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (32.5° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 20.1° seasonal mark. Endy Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, notching a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .045 gap. Endy Rodriguez and his 20.1° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in the majors this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's game. Nick Castellanos has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.5% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last two weeks.

Garrett Stubbs has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.