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BOS vs BAL Consensus Picks
BOS vs BAL Props
Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 venue in MLB for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game.
Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston
Connor Wong's BABIP ability is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Connor Wong has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.2% seasonal rate to 100% in the past week. Connor Wong has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 101.2-mph in the last 7 days.
Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The #8 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jorge Mateo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and moreover, Sale has a huge platoon split. Jorge Mateo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Jorge Mateo has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .273 mark is a fair amount lower than his .326 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 venue in MLB for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer today.
Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 18th-best batter in the league. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 venue in MLB for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #8 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jordan Westburg will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage today.
Bobby Dalbec Total Hits Props • Boston
The #8 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Bobby Dalbec's launch angle in recent games (29° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 17.4° seasonal angle. Bobby Dalbec has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .290 rate is a good deal lower than his .310 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 venue in MLB for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Gunnar Henderson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Gunnar Henderson has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 11.7% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.
Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston
Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 venue in MLB for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Enmanuel Valdez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today. Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Enmanuel Valdez has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.6% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days.
Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The #8 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Chris Sale... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.
Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston
Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The #8 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Trevor Story's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (18.7°) is significantly better than his 12.8° angle last year. Trevor Story's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (26° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 18.7° seasonal angle.
Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston
Adam Duvall has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Cedric Mullins has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
BOS vs BAL Trends
Boston Trends
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+8.85 Units / 20% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 62 away games (+6.98 Units / 10% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.70 Units / 19% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.40 Units / 7% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 123 games (-25.80 Units / -16% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 123 games (-23.15 Units / -15% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Game Total Under in 71 of their last 158 games (-18.70 Units / -11% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 73 away games (-17.33 Units / -21% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 62 away games (-15.06 Units / -19% ROI)
Baltimore Trends
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 96 of their last 153 games (+35.25 Units / 17% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 145 games (+26.05 Units / 14% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games (+9.45 Units / 11% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 41% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 76 games (+4.05 Units / 4% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Team Total Under in 69 of their last 158 games (-32.12 Units / -18% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 76 games (-17.43 Units / -19% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 76 games at home (-10.76 Units / -11% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 15 games at home (-8.47 Units / -30% ROI)
BOS vs BAL Top User Picks
Boston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dispnum1 | 5-5-0 | +16630 |
| 2 | stakay125 | 7-3-0 | +16380 |
| 3 | Jackson2399 | 6-4-0 | +15369 |
| 4 | regger22 | 8-2-0 | +14785 |
| 5 | Andrew333_ | 7-3-0 | +13995 |
| 6 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +13785 |
| 7 | Shitman | 8-2-0 | +13440 |
| 8 | Coakley | 7-3-0 | +12975 |
| 9 | Sandsaver727 | 3-7-0 | +12835 |
| 10 | TheTotalMan | 9-1-0 | +12815 |
| All Red Sox Money Leaders | |||
Baltimore Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +31435 |
| 2 | stumpmaker | 4-5-1 | +24450 |
| 3 | reddog6008 | 7-2-1 | +20117 |
| 4 | coach_d5 | 7-3-0 | +18885 |
| 5 | jnc3lb | 5-5-0 | +16895 |
| 6 | mccabe40 | 3-7-0 | +16810 |
| 7 | MLBFan8848 | 5-5-0 | +16285 |
| 8 | R_MUNDO | 4-6-0 | +16065 |
| 9 | Enelra18 | 4-5-1 | +15445 |
| 10 | Queefs4 | 5-4-1 | +15185 |
| All Orioles Money Leaders | |||