Texas @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Angel Stadium profiles as the #24 field in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Griffin Canning will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien today. Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.247) provides evidence that Marcus Semien has had positive variance on his side this year with his .277 actual batting average.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Over the past two weeks, Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph in recent games. Compared to last season, Jonah Heim has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.4% to 18.6% this season. In the last 14 days, Jonah Heim's 52.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jo Adell has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time over the last week. Placing in the 98th percentile, the hardest ball Jo Adell has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 117.2 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage against Griffin Canning in today's game. Evan Carter has been hot lately, posting a a 27.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) in the past week.

Zach Neto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Zach Neto has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 24.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.5°. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Zach Neto has experienced some negative variance this year. His .300 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .330.

Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today's game. Randal Grichuk has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks. Randal Grichuk has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 92.5-mph over the last week.

Mike Moustakas is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Mike Moustakas will hold the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Moustakas are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dane Dunning. Mike Moustakas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Adolis Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 19% on the season to 26.7% in the past two weeks. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .356.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. David Fletcher will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. David Fletcher has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 84.2-mph average to last season's 81.4-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. In the last week, Leody Taveras's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 17.6%. Over the last 14 days, Leody Taveras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 94.5-mph lately. In the last week, Leody Taveras's 35.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

Angel Stadium projects as the #24 park in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corey Seager in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corey Seager's true offensive skill to be a .397, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .033 gap between that figure and his actual .430 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Logan O'Hoppe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Logan O'Hoppe will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Logan O'Hoppe has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 16.3% to 26.1%.

Brett Phillips has gone over 0.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.