Tampa Bay @ Boston Picks & Props
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TB vs BOS Props
Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the league. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup.
Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Justin Turner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage today.
Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Taylor Walls hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston
Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Trevor Story will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Trevor Story has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week.
Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Masataka Yoshida will hold that advantage in today's game.
Curtis Mead Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Curtis Mead is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Curtis Mead hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. In the past two weeks, Curtis Mead's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 24% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
Bobby Dalbec Total Hits Props • Boston
The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Bobby Dalbec will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Bobby Dalbec's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 13.3% on the season to 40% over the past week. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Bobby Dalbec has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .290 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .311.
Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Connor Wong has posted a .340 BABIP this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.
Raimel Tapia Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Raimel Tapia will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game. Raimel Tapia has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this season (22.1°) is a considerable increase over his 15.5° mark last season.
Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Manuel Margot's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Manuel Margot hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Compared to last year, Manuel Margot has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 6.9% to 13.1% this season.
Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston
Adam Duvall has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
Josh Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Josh Lowe has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Rene Pinto Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Rene Pinto has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
TB vs BOS Trends
Tampa Bay Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 38 games (+13.60 Units / 29% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 85 of their last 156 games (+11.70 Units / 7% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 90 of their last 158 games (+12.09 Units / 6% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 96 of their last 158 games (+8.85 Units / 4% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 26 away games (+7.75 Units / 25% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Team Total Under in 68 of their last 158 games (-32.37 Units / -18% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Game Total Under in 67 of their last 157 games (-26.50 Units / -15% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 85 games (-21.17 Units / -16% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 23 games (-10.12 Units / -37% ROI)
Boston Trends
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 43 games at home (+7.50 Units / 16% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.44 Units / 41% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 122 games (-24.30 Units / -15% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 122 games (-22.15 Units / -14% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 157 games (-19.70 Units / -11% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 10 games (-5.95 Units / -44% ROI)
TB vs BOS Top User Picks
Tampa Bay Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | funaki | 7-3-0 | +19280 |
| 2 | pokersquirrel | 2-7-1 | +17755 |
| 3 | kowalabear | 8-2-0 | +15775 |
| 4 | vladislav1968 | 5-4-1 | +15330 |
| 5 | kenpitch | 5-4-1 | +13015 |
| 6 | Smmiou07 | 7-2-1 | +12845 |
| 7 | adgadg222 | 5-4-1 | +12550 |
| 8 | Mexicali72 | 4-6-0 | +11420 |
| 9 | brandydump1 | 6-4-0 | +11345 |
| 10 | mm76ers | 5-5-0 | +11325 |
| All Rays Money Leaders | |||
Boston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dispnum1 | 5-5-0 | +16630 |
| 2 | stakay125 | 7-3-0 | +16380 |
| 3 | Jackson2399 | 6-4-0 | +15369 |
| 4 | regger22 | 8-2-0 | +14785 |
| 5 | Andrew333_ | 7-3-0 | +13995 |
| 6 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +13785 |
| 7 | Shitman | 8-2-0 | +13440 |
| 8 | Coakley | 7-3-0 | +12975 |
| 9 | Sandsaver727 | 3-7-0 | +12835 |
| 10 | TheTotalMan | 9-1-0 | +12815 |
| All Red Sox Money Leaders | |||