Philadelphia @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Bryce Elder will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trea Turner in today's matchup. Trea Turner has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days. Trea Turner has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 24th percentile with a 3.52 K/BB rate.

Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 89.4 mph to 86.6 mph. Bryson Stott's launch angle this season (9.8°) is quite a bit lower than his 13.2° angle last season. In the last two weeks, Bryson Stott's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45%.

Michael Harris II's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Michael Harris II will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Harris II will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Garrett Stubbs will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Garrett Stubbs's 18.6° launch angle (an advanced standard to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in baseball: 88th percentile.

Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage over Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Nicky Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Nicky Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Sean Murphy will hold that advantage today. Sean Murphy has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.5% rate last season to 16% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game.

Nick Castellanos's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Nick Castellanos has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89-mph EV. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.3°, Nick Castellanos has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.8° figure in the last week. Nick Castellanos has posted a .344 BABIP this year, ranking in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Orlando Arcia will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game. Brandon Marsh has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.9% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past two weeks. Brandon Marsh's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 49.4% on the season to 61.1% in the past 14 days.

The 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.