Atlanta @ Miami Picks & Props
ATL vs MIA Picks
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ATL vs MIA Consensus Picks
ATL vs MIA Props
Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Michael Harris II has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 95.7-mph over the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Michael Harris II's 62.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.9%.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage today.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami
The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Joey Wendle will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Joey Wendle will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Joey Wendle's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (7.2°) is significantly better than his 3.8° figure last season.
Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Orlando Arcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game.
Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Garrett Hampson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Garrett Hampson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. Luis Arraez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Luis Arraez has been lucky this year, notching a .371 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .038 gap.
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami
Xavier Edwards's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's game. Xavier Edwards has been lifting the ball well in recent games, notching a 21.3° launch angle over the last 14 days.
Kevin Pillar Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Kevin Pillar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Kevin Pillar has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .284 mark is deflated compared to his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Miami
Jacob Stallings has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
ATL vs MIA Trends
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 91 games (+11.70 Units / 11% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 76 of their last 136 games (+13.25 Units / 9% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 91 games (+10.50 Units / 6% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 139 games (-29.50 Units / -19% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 17 away games (-10.25 Units / -54% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+8.57 Units / 14% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 57 games at home (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 52 games at home (+6.52 Units / 9% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.74 Units / 55% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 69 of their last 149 games (-27.90 Units / -14% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 149 games (-18.07 Units / -10% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 60 games at home (-14.57 Units / -21% ROI)
ATL vs MIA Top User Picks
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||