Tampa Bay @ Baltimore Picks & Props

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Ryan O'Hearn has been pulled from the game early 20% of the time. Ryan O'Hearn has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's deepest LF fences in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn's launch angle recently (2.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably lower than his 12.2° seasonal angle. Despite posting a .352 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan O'Hearn has had some very good luck given the .027 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325. a 4.87 K/BB rate this year, Ryan O'Hearn has demonstrated bad plate discipline, placing in the 8th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Manuel Margot hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Manuel Margot has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last season's 87.9-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #9 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will bat from his bad side (0) today against Zack Littell In the last 7 days, Anthony Santander's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41%. Anthony Santander has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .253 BA is inflated compared to his .228 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Zack Littell Adley Rutschman has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 81.8-mph in the last week. Over the past 7 days, Adley Rutschman's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ramon Urias will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. With a .355 BABIP this year, Ramon Urias finds himself in the 93rd percentile.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this year (22.3°) is considerably higher than his 15.5° figure last year. Over the past two weeks, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 29.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.4°.

Aaron Hicks is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #9 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Aaron Hicks pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Hicks will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Christian Bethancourt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Adam Frazier's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #9 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field fences in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Littell in today's matchup.

In today's matchup, Gunnar Henderson is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.3% rate (84th percentile). Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 93.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 90.4-mph over the last week. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 42% on the season to 34% in the last two weeks.

The #9 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field fences in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer today. Jonathan Aranda has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile with a 2.04 K/BB rate.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Randy Arozarena hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The #9 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luke Raley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's matchup. Luke Raley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Austin Hays's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Austin Hays will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.1°, Austin Hays has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.3° figure in the past 7 days.

The #9 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field fences in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tristan Gray will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game. Tristan Gray is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#2-worst of all teams on the slate).