Texas @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-worst stadium in the game for right-handed base hits. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nathan Eovaldi will have the handedness advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 5th-best among every team today. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, falling from 48.5% on the season to 28.6% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-worst stadium in the game for right-handed base hits. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kevin Gausman will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien in today's game.

Rogers Centre profiles as the #28 stadium in MLB for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is projected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Corey Seager has been lucky this year, putting up a .439 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .405 — a .034 deviation.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .288 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Daulton Varsho has had bad variance on his side given the .041 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Posting a .333 BABIP this year, Kevin Kiermaier has performed in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi today. Spencer Horwitz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 90.5-mph. Over the last week, Alejandro Kirk's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.3%.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Evan Carter has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power). Evan Carter has displayed some good exit velocity metrics in recent games, averaging 102.4-mph on his flyballs in the last 7 days. In the past week's worth of games, Evan Carter's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 66.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Davis Schneider is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Davis Schneider has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 21.2% to 30%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Cavan Biggio is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Cavan Biggio will have the handedness advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage today. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 20.3% to 25.2%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Mitch Garver ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Mitch Garver has notched a .401 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 97th percentile. Sporting a .288 batting average this year, Mitch Garver finds himself in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Ezequiel Duran has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last year's 85.4-mph mark. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 9.1% to 13.7%. Ezequiel Duran has posted a .284 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup. George Springer has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92-mph.

Tyler Heineman has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.