Miami @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

When assessing his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Johnny Cueto today. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jake Burger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Burger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jake Burger has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 18.7% seasonal rate to 38.5% in the last week's worth of games.

Jake Cave's BABIP talent is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage against Johnny Cueto in today's game. Jake Cave has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jake Cave will hold that advantage in today's game.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Fortes pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, notching a .245 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .073 difference.

The #6 field in the majors for suppressing base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. Bryce Harper's launch angle this season (8.6°) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.7° angle last season. In the past 7 days, Bryce Harper's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (31.9° over the last 7 days) is considerably better than his 14.6° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. Jesus Sanchez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jesus Sanchez has notched a .271 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Josh Bell has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). J.T. Realmuto will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.1% up to 36.4%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 16th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Johnny Cueto today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Nick Castellanos has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 20.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.4°.

Bryson Stott's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Johnny Cueto today. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. Johnny Cueto will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Wendle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. Joey Wendle has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Joey Wendle has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 91.7-mph.