St. Louis @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Masyn Winn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Lars Nootbaar has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.6% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Lars Nootbaar has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.3-mph mark. Using Statcast metrics, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 78th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .353.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Nolan Gorman has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 16.6% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the past 14 days. Nolan Gorman's launch angle lately (29.1° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 22.1° seasonal mark.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Luken Baker will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Luken Baker has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harrison Bader in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. In today's matchup, Harrison Bader is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (89th percentile). Over the past 14 days, Harrison Bader's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%. Ranking in the 7th percentile, Harrison Bader sports a .274 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. With a .266 BABIP this year, Harrison Bader grades out in the 12th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Christian Encarnacion-Strand will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Rom today. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Noelvi Marte will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rom today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hunter Renfroe will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rom in today's matchup. Hunter Renfroe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Tyler O'Neill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13.5% seasonal rate to 21.1% in the past 14 days.

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 20th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Paul Goldschmidt will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Willson Contreras will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Willson Contreras has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Stuart Fairchild will have the handedness advantage against Drew Rom in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Stuart Fairchild will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Jordan Walker will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Batters such as Jordan Walker with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andrew Abbott who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Luke Maile will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rom in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today. Luke Maile will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Richie Palacios has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Andrew Knizner has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.