Boston @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Jose Siri's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Jose Siri will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the past two weeks, Jose Siri has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 35.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Osleivis Basabe in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The 4th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Tropicana Field. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Osleivis Basabe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the past week, Osleivis Basabe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.9% up to 11.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The 4th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Tropicana Field. By putting up a .349 BABIP this year, Connor Wong has performed in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. The 4th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Tropicana Field. In the past two weeks, Trevor Story's 32% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20%. Trevor Story's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 41.4% to 47.3%. Trevor Story has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .223 figure is deflated compared to his .298 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 18th-best batter in the game. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Glasnow in today's game. Rafael Devers has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.7-mph to 94.8-mph in the last 7 days. With a .360 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Rafael Devers has performed in the 86th percentile.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Christian Bethancourt will hold that advantage today. Christian Bethancourt's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (13.5°) is a significant increase over his 10° figure last season.

The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Tropicana Field. Enmanuel Valdez will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Glasnow today. Over the last 7 days, Enmanuel Valdez's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 11th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his batting average ability. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Yandy Diaz will hold that advantage today.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Rene Pinto will hold that advantage today.