Boston @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today. Randy Arozarena has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 89.8-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Jose Siri's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.7% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Among all stadiums, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the shallowest. Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Tropicana Field. Checking in at the 81st percentile, the hardest ball Connor Wong has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability. Sporting a .353 BABIP this year, Connor Wong is ranked in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Triston Casas has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 94.8-mph.

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Adam Duvall has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 96-mph. Adam Duvall's launch angle this year (29.2°) is considerably higher than his 23.4° angle last year. In the last two weeks, Adam Duvall has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 29.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 25.7°.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Rene Pinto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Among all stadiums, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the shallowest. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Wilyer Abreu has been hot of late, putting up a a 15.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) over the last 14 days. Posting a 92.6-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks, Wilyer Abreu has been in great form of late. Wilyer Abreu has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, angling balls between 23° and 34° 23.1% of the time in the past two weeks.

Luis Urias has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.