Tampa Bay @ Miami Picks & Props
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TB vs MIA Consensus Picks
TB vs MIA Props
Christian Bethancourt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
LoanDepot Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Christian Bethancourt will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Christian Bethancourt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Last year, Christian Bethancourt had an average launch angle of 10° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 13.3°.
Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jose Siri will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Jose Siri's launch angle recently (46.5° over the last week) is considerably higher than his 14.3° seasonal figure.
Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami
LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Luis Arraez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of every team today. Luis Arraez has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) over the last 14 days.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
LoanDepot Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's game. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, compiling a .252 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .061 discrepancy.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed base hits. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today. Josh Bell has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.2-mph.
Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Luke Raley has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
TB vs MIA Trends
Tampa Bay Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.30 Units / 31% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.35 Units / 25% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.60 Units / 49% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+3.10 Units / 17% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Team Total Under in 58 of their last 133 games (-25.51 Units / -17% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 1 of their last 6 games (-5.01 Units / -69% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.38 Units / 27% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games at home (+4.37 Units / 6% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games at home (+4.29 Units / 7% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+1.55 Units / 2% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 132 games (-30.70 Units / -18% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 66 games (-21.95 Units / -28% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 62 of their last 132 games (-19.87 Units / -13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 54 games at home (-12.36 Units / -19% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 67 games at home (-9.05 Units / -12% ROI)
TB vs MIA Top User Picks
Tampa Bay Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | funaki | 7-3-0 | +19280 |
| 2 | pokersquirrel | 2-7-1 | +17755 |
| 3 | kowalabear | 8-2-0 | +15775 |
| 4 | vladislav1968 | 5-4-1 | +15330 |
| 5 | kenpitch | 5-4-1 | +13015 |
| 6 | Smmiou07 | 7-2-1 | +12845 |
| 7 | adgadg222 | 5-4-1 | +12550 |
| 8 | Mexicali72 | 4-6-0 | +11420 |
| 9 | brandydump1 | 6-4-0 | +11345 |
| 10 | mm76ers | 5-5-0 | +11325 |
| All Rays Money Leaders | |||
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||