Tampa Bay @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Christian Bethancourt will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Christian Bethancourt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Last year, Christian Bethancourt had an average launch angle of 10° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 13.3°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jose Siri will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Jose Siri's launch angle recently (46.5° over the last week) is considerably higher than his 14.3° seasonal figure.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Luis Arraez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of every team today. Luis Arraez has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) over the last 14 days.

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's game. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, compiling a .252 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .061 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed base hits. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today. Josh Bell has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.2-mph.

Luke Raley has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.