Arizona @ Los Angeles Picks & Props
ARI vs LAD Picks
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ARI vs LAD Consensus Picks
ARI vs LAD Props
James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). James Outman will have the handedness advantage over Merrill Kelly today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and James Outman will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, James Outman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11% up to 22.2%.
Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona
Gabriel Moreno's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gabriel Moreno will hold the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno has notched a .276 batting average this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.
Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.
Chris Taylor Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game.
Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tommy Pham will hold the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw today. Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today. Miguel Rojas will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. This season, Miguel Rojas has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.8 mph compared to last year's 86.7 mph mark.
Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jason Heyward will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jason Heyward has exhibited good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 87th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.
Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ketel Marte in today's matchup. Ketel Marte's launch angle lately (1.6° over the last week) is considerably worse than his 11.4° seasonal angle. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ketel Marte has been lucky this year. His .362 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .348.
Evan Longoria Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Longoria in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Evan Longoria will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw today. Compared to last year, Evan Longoria has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.6% to 18.8% this season.
Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • Arizona
In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Ahmed will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.289) provides evidence that Nick Ahmed has had bad variance on his side this year with his .258 actual wOBA.
ARI vs LAD Trends
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.06 Units / 39% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 56 away games (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 57 away games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.89 Units / 16% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 61 away games (-22.11 Units / -31% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 63 of their last 131 games (-16.61 Units / -11% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 66 of their last 114 games (+21.80 Units / 16% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 65 of their last 110 games (+20.75 Units / 17% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 53 games at home (+12.70 Units / 13% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 56 games at home (+6.74 Units / 10% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games at home (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 122 games (-31.75 Units / -24% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 56 games at home (-16.25 Units / -24% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 39 games at home (-9.10 Units / -17% ROI)
ARI vs LAD Top User Picks
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||
LA Dodgers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||