Arizona @ Los Angeles Picks & Props
ARI vs LAD Picks
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ARI vs LAD Consensus Picks
ARI vs LAD Props
Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Jason Heyward will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Jason Heyward's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.7 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 84th percentile.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 20.2%. Geraldo Perdomo has exhibited good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 95th percentile with a 1.36 K/BB rate.
Jace Peterson Total Hits Props • Arizona
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Jace Peterson will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Miller in today's matchup. Jace Peterson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Last year, Jace Peterson had an average launch angle of 12.9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.7°. Jace Peterson has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .281 mark is a fair amount lower than his .309 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.292) provides evidence that Tommy Pham has experienced some negative variance this year with his .263 actual batting average.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.
Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Freddie Freeman's true offensive ability to be a .400, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .023 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .423 wOBA.
James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. James Outman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and James Outman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. James Outman has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Grading out in the 94th percentile, James Outman has posted a .357 BABIP this year.
Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Miguel Rojas's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Miguel Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Miguel Rojas has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph mark. Compared to last year, Miguel Rojas has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.3% to 19% this season.
Michael Busch Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen in today's game. Michael Busch will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Michael Busch has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph to 89.6-mph in the last 7 days.
Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Max Muncy ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's game.
Evan Longoria Total Hits Props • Arizona
Evan Longoria has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
ARI vs LAD Trends
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 56 away games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.06 Units / 37% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.94 Units / 16% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 56 away games (+9.40 Units / 14% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 60 away games (-21.06 Units / -30% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 62 of their last 130 games (-17.61 Units / -11% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 103 games (+22.10 Units / 18% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 109 games (+19.75 Units / 16% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 52 games at home (+11.70 Units / 12% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games at home (+5.60 Units / 9% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+2.10 Units / 11% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 121 games (-30.65 Units / -23% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 55 games at home (-14.80 Units / -23% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 38 games at home (-8.10 Units / -16% ROI)
ARI vs LAD Top User Picks
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||
LA Dodgers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||