St. Louis @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The #10 park in MLB for suppressing BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Bryce Harper's launch angle this season (8.4°) is quite a bit worse than his 11.7° angle last season.

The #10 park in MLB for suppressing BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Bryson Stott's launch angle this year (10.1°) is significantly worse than his 13.2° figure last year. Despite posting a .338 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bryson Stott has been lucky given the .016 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Cave will hold the platoon advantage against Dakota Hudson in today's game. Jake Cave has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Jake Cave will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. With a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Tyler O'Neill grades out in the 80th percentile for offensive ability.

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage over Dakota Hudson in today's game. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Dakota Hudson in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. In the last two weeks, Jordan Walker's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alec Burleson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup.

The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Richie Palacios will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Richie Palacios has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Posting a 94-mph average exit velocity in the past week, Richie Palacios has been in great form lately.