Los Angeles @ Boston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the league for righty batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the league for righty batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Kike Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton in today's game.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Justin Turner has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .362 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Justin Turner's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to measure power) has been 108.2 mph this year, grading out in the 14th percentile.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mookie Betts in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mookie Betts's true offensive ability to be a .394, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .033 gap between that mark and his actual .427 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the league for righty batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Urias today.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. James Paxton will hold the platoon advantage over Freddie Freeman in today's game. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Freddie Freeman has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph dropping to 84.9-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Freddie Freeman's true offensive ability to be a .401, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .021 gap between that figure and his actual .422 wOBA.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Outman stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. James Outman pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. James Outman has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.7% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the past two weeks.

Chris Taylor's BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the league for righty batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Chris Taylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the league for righty batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Trevor Story will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Urias in today's game.

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the league for righty batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Adam Duvall will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Urias in today's matchup. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the league for righty batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Miguel Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game. Miguel Rojas has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Triston Casas has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.