St. Louis @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Alec Bohm is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-worst stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Miles Mikolas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm today. Alec Bohm's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 89.2-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 85.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #21 stadium in the majors for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Bryce Harper has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph dropping to 84.4-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-worst stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage over Trea Turner today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage over Miles Mikolas today. Jake Cave has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup.

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Luken Baker will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Extreme flyball hitters like Luken Baker tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-worst stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 91.8-mph seasonal average has fallen to 88.4-mph in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Masyn Winn will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-worst stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Miles Mikolas will have the handedness advantage against Nick Castellanos in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.324) implies that Nick Castellanos has had positive variance on his side this year with his .335 actual wOBA. In terms of plate discipline, Nick Castellanos's skill is quite bad, posting a 5.43 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 6th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Garrett Stubbs will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Garrett Stubbs will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP talent. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's game. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Taylor Motter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Taylor Motter pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.