Atlanta @ San Francisco Picks & Props

Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the schedule today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Olson today. Matt Olson has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 94.8-mph dropping to 92.5-mph over the past two weeks. Over the past 7 days, Matt Olson's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Sean Murphy ranks in the 97th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .399.

Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the schedule today. Typically, batters like Michael Harris II who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Logan Webb. Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Michael Harris II's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (5.1°) is considerably worse than his 8.2° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Davis in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. J.D. Davis has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and J.D. Davis will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Luis Matos will hold that advantage in today's game. By putting up a 1.64 K/BB rate this year, Luis Matos has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Sabol in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Blake Sabol is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Patrick Bailey pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today's game. Posting a .332 BABIP this year, Patrick Bailey grades out in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Joc Pederson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider in today's matchup.

Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Orlando Arcia has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 92.6-mph. Orlando Arcia has notched a .273 batting average this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Travis d'Arnaud's batting average skill is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Travis d'Arnaud has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Travis d'Arnaud has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph figure.

The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's matchup. Nicky Lopez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 86.7-mph.