Los Angeles @ Texas Picks & Props

The #3 venue in the game for suppressing base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Lucas Giolito will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Semien today. Over the last 7 days, Marcus Semien's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB. Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Texas Rangers in this game carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .334, which is a good deal woirse than their actual wOBA of .349 this year. It may be best to expect negative regression for the Texas Rangers offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as them as the luckiest offense in baseball this year. John Tumpane profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today's game.

The #3 stadium in the majors for suppressing BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Corey Seager hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Corey Seager has been lucky this year, posting a .443 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .393 — a .050 deviation.

Jonah Heim will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jonah Heim has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last season's 90-mph EV. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13.4% to 19.3%. Jonah Heim has compiled a .275 batting average this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.

C.J. Cron is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. C.J. Cron will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. In the past 7 days, C.J. Cron's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.8%. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, C.J. Cron has had some very poor luck this year. His .319 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito today. Nathaniel Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Nathaniel Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.3% up to 31.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's game. Mitch Garver has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, upping his 8.8% rate last season to 14.2% this year. Mitch Garver has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 94.5-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Luis Rengifo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The switch-hitting Luis Rengifo will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jordan Montgomery. Luis Rengifo has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.8-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph figure. Luis Rengifo has shown strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 76th percentile with a 1.94 K/BB rate.

The switch-hitting Eduardo Escobar will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Jordan Montgomery.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Adolis Garcia will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has notched a .365 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 89th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 91st percentile, Adolis Garcia has posted a .368 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Drury in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Drury is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Brandon Drury will hold the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's game. In the last week, Brandon Drury's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.9-mph of late. Sporting a .282 batting average this year, Brandon Drury is ranked in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. Leody Taveras has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 91.6-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 89.3-mph. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.295) provides evidence that Leody Taveras has been unlucky this year with his .263 actual batting average.

Travis Jankowski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Travis Jankowski will hold that advantage in today's game. Travis Jankowski has shown strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 97th percentile with a 1.15 K/BB rate. Placing in the 88th percentile, Travis Jankowski sits with a .284 batting average this year.

Chad Wallach will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Since the start of last season, Chad Wallach's 11.3% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers. Chad Wallach is in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (23.1% rate since the start of last season).

Hunter Renfroe will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.9°, Hunter Renfroe has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 20.6° mark in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage today. Ezequiel Duran has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last season's 85.4-mph figure. Using Statcast data, Ezequiel Duran grades out in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .281. Checking in at the 94th percentile, Ezequiel Duran sits with a .364 BABIP this year.

Mike Moustakas has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Josh H. Smith has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.