Cleveland @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The #4 park in the game for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Xzavion Curry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians. Cleveland's #2-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Yandy Diaz, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Harold Ramirez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today's game. The #4 park in the game for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Xzavion Curry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Harold Ramirez today. Harold Ramirez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 9th-deepest CF fences today.

Tropicana Field profiles as the #27 park in MLB for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Steven Kwan today. In the last two weeks, Steven Kwan's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 7.2°. This year, Steven Kwan's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 0th percentile at 85.1 mph.

Tropicana Field profiles as the #27 park in MLB for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. The switch-hitting Wander Franco will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his worse side (0) today against Xzavion Curry Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians. Wander Franco's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 14.4% on the season to 5.6% in the past 7 days.

Will Brennan's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Will Brennan will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Civale in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Will Brennan has suffered from bad luck this year. His .254 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .302.

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field's right field dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale today. Andres Gimenez has been unlucky this year, posting a .302 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .024 disparity.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 94.4-mph in the past week's worth of games. Jose Ramirez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph figure.

Oscar Gonzalez's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oscar Gonzalez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Oscar Gonzalez's true offensive skill to be a .308, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .057 difference between that mark and his actual .251 wOBA. Based on Statcast metrics, Oscar Gonzalez grades out in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .280. In notching a .278 batting average since the start of last season, Oscar Gonzalez has performed in the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last year's 89.8-mph EV. Randy Arozarena has notched a .366 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 90th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Myles Straw's launch angle in recent games (27.3° in the last week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 8.9° seasonal angle. Despite posting a .267 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Myles Straw given the .028 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Siri will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Jose Siri has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 51.9° mark in the past week's worth of games. Jose Siri's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (20.4°) is a considerable increase over his 11.7° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Xzavion Curry in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game. Brandon Lowe has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 93.2-mph over the last 14 days.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage over Xzavion Curry in today's matchup. Luke Raley will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Luke Raley has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 93.8-mph. Grading out in the 93rd percentile, Luke Raley has notched a .374 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (42.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Isaac Paredes's launch angle from last year's 15.5° to 21.2° this season. In the past two weeks, Isaac Paredes's 25.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Rene Pinto will hold that advantage today.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Gabriel Arias has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Bo Naylor has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.