St. Louis @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

This year, Harold Ramirez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 32% of his appearances when starting against southpaw. The #6 field in baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. In today's matchup, Harold Ramirez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.8% rate (96th percentile). Harold Ramirez has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .343 figure is considerably higher than his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The #6 field in baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Zack Littell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nolan Arenado today.

The #6 field in baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt today. Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph dropping to 84.7-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The #6 field in baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Over the last 14 days, Yandy Diaz's 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.7%. Yandy Diaz has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .394 rate is quite a bit higher than his .365 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #6 field in baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Wander Franco's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 14.3% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

The #6 field in baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Randy Arozarena has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 13.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week's worth of games. In the last 14 days, Randy Arozarena's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.2°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Carlson in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. The 5th-shallowest right field fences in the majors are found in Tropicana Field. Over the last two weeks, Dylan Carlson has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 33° compared to his seasonal mark of 15°. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 40.7% to 46.4%. Dylan Carlson has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .294 rate is a fair amount lower than his .342 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's game. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Jose Siri has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 51.9° angle over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The 5th-shallowest right field fences in the majors are found in Tropicana Field. Tommy Edman has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .238 mark is quite a bit lower than his .263 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Littell in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 16.1% seasonal rate to 31.3% over the past 14 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar's launch angle lately (29° over the past week) is a considerable increase over his 5.3° seasonal figure. Checking in at the 88th percentile, Lars Nootbaar sports a .364 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Isaac Paredes will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (42.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Isaac Paredes has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.

Taylor Motter pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Willson Contreras has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Willson Contreras has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .252 figure is a good deal lower than his .277 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alec Burleson's batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 5th-shallowest right field fences in the majors are found in Tropicana Field. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell today. Alec Burleson has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.5% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past 14 days. Alec Burleson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.8-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Manuel Margot will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Manuel Margot will hold that advantage today. Manuel Margot has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year's 87.9-mph mark. Manuel Margot's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 6.9% to 14.6%.

Andrew Knizner has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Knizner has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 3.5% rate last year to 9.9% this year. Andrew Knizner has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 87.5-mph average.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Tyler O'Neill has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.