Baltimore @ Toronto props

The #3 park in the majors for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Jack Flaherty will hold the platoon advantage against Whit Merrifield in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team on the slate today. Whit Merrifield's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.2-mph mark last year has dropped to 88.8-mph. Whit Merrifield's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 16.6% on the season to 10.5% in the past 14 days.

Gunnar Henderson's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McKenna in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ryan McKenna has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 86.8-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty today. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Anthony Santander has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.2-mph.

The 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Jack Flaherty in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today.

The 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ramon Urias has compiled a .333 BABIP this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Colton Cowser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Belt in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Belt is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Austin Hays has put up a .353 BABIP this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Cavan Biggio has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Danny Jansen has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.