Boston @ Oakland Picks & Props

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Jarren Duran has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time. Built just 0 feet above sea level, Oakland Coliseum has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jarren Duran today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seth Brown in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Seth Brown will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Seth Brown has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 14.7% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 14 days. Compared to last season, Seth Brown has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.5% to 24.8% this season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 17th-best batter in baseball. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Oakland Coliseum has the 7th-shallowest among all stadiums. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Blackburn today. Over the last week, Rafael Devers's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.2% up to 50%.

When estimating his batting average skill, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 17th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Oakland Coliseum has the 7th-shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Blackburn today.

HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Oakland Coliseum has the 7th-shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Nick Pivetta will have the handedness advantage over Shea Langeliers today. Shea Langeliers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Shea Langeliers has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.3-mph.

HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Oakland Coliseum has the 7th-shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Connor Wong's maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to evaluate power) has been 113.6 mph this year, placing in the 83rd percentile. Connor Wong has notched a .329 BABIP this year, placing in the 76th percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Blackburn today. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Triston Casas has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 18.8° figure in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Built just 0 feet above sea level, Oakland Coliseum has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Verdugo in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Alex Verdugo has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 15.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 9.1°.

HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Oakland Coliseum has the 7th-shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Yu Chang's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.4% to 21.6%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.296) suggests that Yu Chang has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .271 actual wOBA. The standard deviation of Yu Chang's launch angle since the start of last season (25.3°) is in the 84th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Justin Turner ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Oakland's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Justin Turner, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Justin Turner has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 6.4% seasonal rate to 12% in the past 14 days.

Adam Duvall is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Oakland Coliseum has the 7th-shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Adam Duvall has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 14.7% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks. Adam Duvall has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.7-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Arroyo in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brent Rooker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Oakland Coliseum has the 7th-shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Nick Pivetta will have the handedness advantage against Brent Rooker in today's game.

Tony Kemp is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Oakland Coliseum has the 7th-shallowest among all stadiums. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Tony Kemp will hold that advantage in today's game. Tony Kemp has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.7-mph average to last season's 84.2-mph average. When it comes to plate discipline, Tony Kemp's ability is quite good, sporting a 1.12 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 97th percentile.

Ryan Noda is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Oakland Coliseum has the 7th-shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ryan Noda will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Ryan Noda's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.4%.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Nick Pivetta will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Allen in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Allen will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Last season, Nick Allen had an average launch angle of 4.8° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 8.2°. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.256) may lead us to conclude that Nick Allen has had bad variance on his side this year with his .224 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Diaz in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jordan Diaz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Nick Pivetta will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Diaz in today's matchup. Jordan Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Aledmys Diaz has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

JJ Bleday has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.