Tampa Bay @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 field in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley today. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Triston Casas will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Triston Casas has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph EV.

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida as the 15th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 field in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley today. Masataka Yoshida has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 field in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Taylor Walls has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days. Taylor Walls's launch angle lately (32.1° in the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 20° seasonal mark. Taylor Walls's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (19.8°) is considerably better than his 16.4° mark last season.

THE BAT X projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 field in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 field in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Taj Bradley in today's game. Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Luke Raley in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 field in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luke Raley can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 field in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley today. Enmanuel Valdez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 field in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Jarren Duran hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Randy Arozarena has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 100.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 93.2-mph mark.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Lowe in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 field in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Houck in today's game. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

THE BAT X projects Justin Turner in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Justin Turner has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Justin Turner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate. Jose Siri has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.3% rate last year to 19.4% this year.

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Manuel Margot hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (42.6% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manuel Margot has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .300 figure is a fair amount lower than his .336 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Manuel Margot has shown impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league. Kike Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Kike Hernandez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (24° in the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 5.7° seasonal figure.

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Connor Wong pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Connor Wong will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Connor Wong has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Connor Wong's launch angle lately (32.4° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 17.3° seasonal figure.

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this year (19°) is significantly higher than his 15.5° angle last year. Isaac Paredes has notched a .355 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 75th percentile. Isaac Paredes has put up a .275 batting average this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Harold Ramirez has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Yandy Diaz has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.