Arizona @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for homers. Comparing his current average of 93.3 mph to last year's EV of 90.9 mph, there has been a significant boost in Evan Longoria's exit velocity this season. Since the start of last season, Evan Longoria's 11.9% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 84th percentile among his peers.

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for homers. Dalton Guthrie will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Checking in at the 93rd percentile with a sprint speed of 29.13 ft/sec since the start of last season, Dalton Guthrie displays remarkable fastism.

THE BAT X projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. In recent games, Christian Walker' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably increased, markident from his 101.5-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 93.7-mph. Christian Walker has notched a .355 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.

In terms of his BABIP skill, Dominic Fletcher ranks in the 76th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for homers. Matt Strahm will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dominic Fletcher in today's game. Dominic Fletcher has been hot lately, batting his way to a .382 wOBA in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for homers. Over the last week's worth of games, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 3.9% to 14.3%, showcasing big gains in his performance. Geraldo Perdomo's launch angle lately (42.5° in the last week) is a significant increase over his 9.5° seasonal angle. Compared to last season's 9.7°, Geraldo Perdomo has shown a notable increase in his average launch mark of 16.4° on his highest exit velocity balls this year.

Via THE BAT projection system, field ranks as the 21nd field in the league for righty BABIP. Less offense is commonly observed at Citizens Bank Park due to its altitude being one of the lowest in the majors, close to sea-level. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Ryne Nelson will have the handedness advantage over Trea Turner in today's matchup. Today, the Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense is ranked 4th-best on the slate.

Gabriel Moreno's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for homers. Of late, Gabriel Moreno's exit velocity has notably improvementd, evident in his 94.4-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 90.4-mph figure. Checking in at the 96th percentile, Gabriel Moreno has notched a .299 batting average since the start of last season.

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for homers.

THE BAT X projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for homers. Matt Strahm will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Carroll today. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Corbin Carroll is in the 87th percentile for hitting ability per THE BAT X's version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .364.

THE BAT X projects Ketel Marte in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for homers. Ketel Marte's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 43.3% on the season to 62.5% over the last 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, Ketel Marte is in the 78th percentile per THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average this year at .274.

According to THE BAT X, Kyle Schwarber is predicted to be the 16th-best hitter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for homers. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Assessing his BABIP talent, THE BAT X rates Edmundo Sosa in the 82nd percentile. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for homers. Edmundo Sosa will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .247 BA is considerably lower than his .262 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for homers.

Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Bryson Stott will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last week's worth of games, Bryson Stott has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 3.9% to 11.1%, showcasing notable gains in his performance.

Josh Rojas has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst on the slate. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected wOBA (.319) suggests that Josh Rojas has had bad variance on his side this year with his .291 actual wOBA. Posting a .315 BABIP since the start of last season, Josh Rojas finds himself in the 76th percentile.

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for homers. Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's matchup. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past week, Kody Clemens has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 12.5% to 40%. Kody Clemens has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.7-mph mark.

For 54% of the time this year, Pavin Smith has mainly batted in the back-half of the lineup, but for this matchup, he is listed in the 1st spot in the lineup. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for homers. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst on the slate. Comparing his seasonal 90.3-mph EV to his 93.6-mph average in the past week's games, Pavin Smith's exit velocity has significantly gaind in recent times. Recently, Pavin Smith has improved his capability to strike the ball at a launch angle that maximizes base hit, which ranges from -4° to 26°, resulting in an increase from 47.8% to 61.5% over the last 7 days.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Bryce Harper has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.