Wolves vs Man United Predictions and Picks: Wolves Hungry for Revenge vs Red Devils

Wolverhampton took a hard-luck loss in Old Trafford when they last faced Manchester United, but our soccer betting picks believe the Wolves can settle the score with the Red Devils at home on Thursday afternoon.

Jason Ence - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Jason Ence • Betting Analyst
Feb 1, 2024 • 09:30 ET • 4 min read
Wolverhampton Wanderers EPL Matheus Cunha soccer
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Wolverhampton Wanderers will hope to right a wrong from the opening weekend of the Premier League campaign and get a result as they welcome Manchester United to Molineux Stadium on Thursday. The soccer odds have Manchester United as slight favorites to win.

Wolves feel hard done by after falling 1-0 at Old Trafford, when they were denied what should’ve been a penalty in the final moments of the match. They’ll look to exact a bit of revenge while extending an unbeaten Premier League run of form at home to nine matches. 

The Red Devils are finally getting healthy, but yet again, headlines off the pitch are overshadowing the results on it. A run of away form in the league sees them winless in their last four, and a defeat here would make it four losses in five away from Old Trafford.

Our Wolves vs Manchester United free betting picks and EPL predictions for Thursday, February 1 explains why both teams are likely to see their respective form come into play. 

Wolves vs Man United best odds

EPL predictions for Wolves vs Man United

To say that Wolves were hard done by in their season-opening loss is an understatement. They outshot Manchester United 23-15, including a 6-3 edge on shots on target, but failed to score despite having 2.35 xG on the day. 

Making matters worse, they were denied a clear penalty when Andre Onana collided with Sasa Kalajdzic as he whiffed on an attempt to punch away a ball into the area. VAR refused to award the spot kick despite the Man United keeper clearly punching the Wolves’ player in the face as he missed the ball.

Had that penalty been given and converted, Wolves would actually be ahead of Manchester United in the table on goal differential. Instead, they will hope to get three points on Thursday and achieve that very feat.

Doing so would extend a spell of terrific form. Over the past two months, only one team has recorded more points in league play. They’re unbeaten in seven straight across all competitions, with five wins during that time. They’ve won four of their last seven in the league with just one defeat, and haven’t lost a home Premier League fixture since mid-September.

While Erik ten Hag’s side is finally getting healthy, they did little this weekend to instill faith that they’re figuring things out. Up 2-0 early on lowly Newport County, Man United conceded goals either side of halftime before an Antony goal on 68 minutes put them ahead. But it wasn’t until Rasmus Hojlund’s finish in stoppage time that they were able to be secure in victory.

Man United’s away form this season has been very streaky. They’ve lost seven of their 15 fixtures in all competitions, versus just six wins. Of those wins, two have come in a row against lower-league FA Cup opposition, while three of the other four came against sides currently mired in the relegation scrap.

They’ve managed just one away draw this season in the Premier League, a surprising 0-0 result at Liverpool. But they’ve also not had a first-choice defense available to them since September, which they should have here. 

Wolves have beaten Manchester City at home this season. They’ve beaten Chelsea and Tottenham as well, while getting draws against Newcastle and Aston Villa. Meanwhile, the Red Devils have lost their last two away fixtures in the league to West Ham and Nottingham Forest, and simply aren’t the same side then they travel away from home.

I think the draw at +260 offers the best value, as I think that line should be priced closer to +230, But I also can’t ignore the fact that Wolves are in solid form right now and will have revenge on their mind. I like that extra motivation to push them to a win at the final whistle, so take advantage of +190 odds over at TonyBet. 

My best bet: Wolves moneyline (+190 at TonyBet)

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Wolves vs Man United same-game parlay

Wolves moneyline

Matheus Cunha to score or assist

Under 3.5

Matheus Cunha has either scored or assisted in six of Wolves’ last 10 fixtures, with four goals and three assists in that span. He’s been more involved at Molineux, with seven goal contributions in their last six matches at home. Back him to score or set one up on Thursday.

We’re also going to back this match having three or fewer goals. Wolves have not conceded multiple Premier League goals at home in any of their last five, all of which saw scorelines that failed to reach four goals. Man United has managed just one away goal in their last four league outings, and have conceded only five in that timeframe.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Wolves vs Man United side and Over/Under analysis

The 3-way line sees Man United favored with a price of up to +150, despite their woeful away form. Wolves can get up to +190 while the draw is as high as +260.

Man United might still be without Marcus Rashford, who was “sick” for their FA Cup match despite being seen out partying late last week. He’s faced internal discipline but his status for Thursday is unknown. They may also welcome back Onana, whose Cameroon side was eliminated from AFCON. 

Wolves won’t have forward Hee-chan Hwang, who is playing in the Asian Cup, while Joao Gomes will be suspended. Pablo Sarabia is a doubt, while Boubacar Traore will also miss due to AFCON duties. 

We’re backing Wolves to win, but those who want to reduce risk should also look at Wolves draw no bet. It’s at plus-odds right now, and I fully expect them to get a result. Unfortunately the double chance and spread are too juiced. 

It’s rare these days to see a Premier League match total still playable at 2.5 but that’s what we have here. The Over is priced as low as -118 at bet365 while it’s over -130 elsewhere. The Under can be had at BetMGM for even money.

We took the Under 3.5 in the same-game parlay, but I’m hesitant to play the 2.5 line here. I can see this ending 2-1 just as much as I see it being a 1-0 win for Wolves. Man United are struggling to score away from home in the league, while Wolves are not the same in attack without Hwang. 

However, the Man United midfield is prone to making turnovers in bad areas, and Wolves are built to hurt them on the counter. That said, only one of the last 10 meetings between these teams have seen both teams score, with the last five having at least one team keeping a clean sheet. I’d lean Under here. 

Not intended for use in MA.
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Wolves vs Man United game info

Location: Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, England
Date: Thursday, February 1, 2024
Time: 3:15 p.m. ET
TV: Network
Weather: 40 degrees, 12-18 mph winds, PoP 0%.

Wolves vs Man United key injuries

Wolves: Joao Gomes M (Out), Hee-chan Hwang F (Out), Pablo Sarabia M (Doubtful). 
Man United: Marcus Rashford F (Questionable), Anthony Martial F (Out), Mason Mount M (Doubtful). 

Wolves vs Man United recent league form

Teams Recent Premier League Form
Wolves Wolves D-W-W-W-L
Man United Man United D-L-W-L-D

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