Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid Predictions, Picks & Odds for Wednesday’s Champions League Match

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst 10+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 17, 2026 , 12:05 PM ET • 4 min read

Sam Farley sees more goals coming across in this Tottenham vs. Atletico Madrid UCL tie. Plus, how Julian Alvarez and Pape Matar Sarr will factor in on Wednesday afternoon.

Atletico Madrid soccer Julian Alvarez
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Atletico Madrid's Julian Alvarez celebrates a goal.

We’re set for the second leg of Tottenham against Atletico Madrid in the Champions League this Wednesday, but with the Spaniards holding a three goal lead, this is surely Mission: Impossible for the hosts.

With Spurs needing to attack, and Atletico able to sit back and counter, my Tottenham vs. Atletico Madrid predictions believe we’re set for goals. 

Read on for my free betting picks for March 18.

Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid picks and predictions

My Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid best bet: Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals (-102 at Sports Interaction)

With Tottenham three goals behind in the tie following a 5-2 defeat in Madrid, it’s going to mean them attacking aggressively from early in the matchup, which should see the game open up and allow goals.

We’ve seen both teams score in all five Tottenham matches under Igor Tudor, with Spurs losing four times, and Over 2.5 goals cashing in 80% of those games. 

We’ve seen both teams to score win in 10 of Atletico’s 11 games in the Champions League this season, while Over 2.5 goals has also landed in all but one game.

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Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid same-game parlay (SGP)

Both teams to score

Pape Matar Sarr 1+ shot on target

Julian Alvarez 1+ shot on target

Pape Matar Sarr hasn’t been prolific in front of goal this season but has had a shot on target in his past three Premier League starts. With Tottenham chasing this tie, he should get chances.

We’ve seen Julian Alvarez have a shot on target in 55.2% of his games this season, with 21 in 38 games across La Liga and the Champions League, as well as scoring in the first leg of this matchup.

Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid odds

Tottenham Tottenham Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
+150 Moneyline +155
+270 Draw +270
Over 2.5 (-145) Total Under 2.5 (+105)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

How to watch Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid

Location Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
Date Wednesday, March 18, 2026
Time 4:00 p.m. ET
TV Paramount+
Weather 62F, 8 mph winds, 0% PoP.

Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid key injuries

Tottenham: Wilson Odobert FWR (Out), Rodrigo Bentancur CM (Out), Lucas Bergvall CM (Out), Ben Davies DEF (Out), Mohammed Kudus FWR (Out), Dejan Kulusevski FWR (Out), James Maddison FWR (Out), Richarlison STR (Out), Destiny Udogie LB (Questionable), Joao Palhinha CM (Questionable), Cristian Romero CB (Questionable), Conor Gallagher CM (Questionable).
Atletico Madrid: Rodrigo Mendoza CM (Out), Pablo Barrios CM (Out), Jan Oblak GK (Questionable).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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