Real Madrid vs Pachuca Predictions, Picks & Odds for Sunday's FIFA Club World Cup Match

Rosu’s prediction: Bank on a high‑paced showdown at Bank of America Stadium.

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst
Jun 21, 2025 • 12:39 ET • 4 min read
Real Madrid CF defender Trent Alexander-Arnold
Photo By - Imagn Images. Real Madrid CF defender Trent Alexander-Arnold.

Real Madrid were held to a 1-1 draw by Al Hilal in their opening match at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, while Pachuca fell 2-1 to RB Salzburg. 

With Pachuca low on morale and Real Madrid still missing several stars, I expect plenty of goals when these two meet on Sunday. 

Find out more in my Real Madrid vs. Pachuca predictions and FIFA Club World Cup free picks for June 22.

Real Madrid vs Pachuca and predictions

My Real Madrid vs Pachuca best bet: Over 2.5 goals (-189 at Betano)

These teams last met in December, when Real Madrid beat Pachuca 3-0 in the 2024 FIFA Intercontinental Cup final in Qatar, with Kylian Mbappe, Rodrygo, and Vinicius Junior all finding the scoresheet.

Mbappe will miss out after being hospitalized with gastroenteritis and is likely to be replaced up front by 21-year-old Gonzalo García.

Real Madrid have won their last three FIFA club competition matches against Mexican sides without conceding, so Pachuca would be making history if they find the net on Sunday in Charlotte. Meanwhile, Los Blancos have scored in each of their last 11 matches across all competitions, and they look set to extend that run.

Under new manager Xabi Alonso, Madrid are aiming to implement an electric, attacking style — something Pachuca’s defense should struggle to contain after the tight draw with Al Hilal.

With that in mind, I’m backing Over 2.5 goals.

Chelsea vs Flamengo same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 2.5 goals

Over 3.5 bookings

Vinicius Junior 2+ shots on target / Courtois 2+ saves

Make no mistake, Brazilian referee Ramon Abatti will take charge of this match. 

In four of his last five games before coming to the United States for the World Cup, he's issued at least four cards. He’s no stranger to controversy, having shown red cards in two of his last three matches.

With Mbappe out, Vini Jr. should take centre stage in Real's attacks. Meanwhile, given Real’s issues at the back, expect Courtois to be challenged.

Real Madrid vs Pachuca odds

Real Madrid Pachuca
-286 Moneyline +775
+420 Draw +420
Over 2.5 (-189) Total Under 2.5 (+150)

Odds courtesy of Betano.

How to watch Real Madrid vs Pachuca

Location Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Date Sunday, 6-22-2025
Time 3:00 p.m. ET
TV DAZN
Weather 94F and sunny. 

Real Madrid vs Pachuca key injuries

Real Madrid: Militao CB (Out), Alaba CB (Out), Rudiger CB (Out), Dani Carvajal RB (Out), Mendy LB (Out), Camavinga CM (Out), Mbappe FW (Out), Endrick FW (Out).
Pachuca: Andres Micolta CB (Out).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

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