It’s quarterfinal time in the Champions League, and Real Madrid against Bayern Munich is arguably the most fascinating matchup of the round.
Bayern’s Harry Kane is uncertain to start, but another of their London-born players in Michael Olise could be the difference-maker. My Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich predictions are backing the man who will try to stop Olise, Alvaro Fernandez, to be shown a card.
Read on for my Champions League free betting picks for Tuesday, April 7.
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich picks and predictions
My Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich best bet: Alvaro Fernandez to be shown a card (+270 at Sports Interaction)
Ferland Mendy looks unlikely to play, meaning Alvaro Fernandez will continue to start at left back for Real Madrid. Fernandez has picked up four yellow cards in eight Champions League games this season, in addition to five yellows and a red in the league, and has averaged 1.4 fouls committed per 90 minutes in the UCL.
He's up against Michael Olise, who alongside Harry Kane is Bayern’s key attacking outlet. Olise averages 5.48 dribbles per game in Europe and is a foul-magnet, drawing 1.37 per 90 minutes played.
Expect Alvaro Fernandez to try and stop him by any means necessary.
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Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich same-game parlay (SGP)
Kylian Mbappe to score
Michael Olise 1+ shot on target
Michael Olise to be shown a card
Real’s Kylian Mbappe has scored a staggering 13 goals in just nine Champions League appearances for Los Blancos this season, averaging a wild 5.1 shots per game. Bayern have only kept two clean sheets in 10 UCL games this season.
Olise has been a dynamic member of Bayern’s attacking play this season. Olise is averaging 1.5 shots on target per 90 minutes played in the UCL and already has 16 goals to his name in all competition.
With a hot temperament, Olise can get in disciplinary trouble. He’s picked up 10 bookings this season for Bayern and has averaged 1.75 fouls committed per 90 minutes played in Europe.
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich odds
 Real Madrid |
 Bayern Munich |
|
|---|---|---|
| +190 | Moneyline | +115 |
| +290 | Draw | +290 |
| Over 2.5 (-227) | Total | Under 2.5 (+160) |
Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich opening odds
- Moneyline: Real Madrid +190 | Bayern Munich +115
- Draw: +290
- Over/Under: Over 2.5 | Under 2.5
How to watch Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich
| Location | Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid, Spain |
| Date | Tuesday, April 7, 2026 |
| Time | 3:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Paramount+ |
| Weather | 73F, 11mph winds, 25% PoP. |
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich key injuries
Real Madrid: Thibaut Courtois GK (Out), Rodrygo FWR (Out), Ferland Mendy LB (Questionable), Dani Ceballos MID (Questionable).
Bayern Munich: Harry Kane STR (Questionable).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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