Ballon d'Or Betting Odds: Who Will Win the 2024 Ballon d'Or?

As we approach the end of the domestic league seasons and enter two major international summer tournaments, there is no better time to break down the 2024 Ballon d'Or odds. Real Madrid and Brazilian sensation, Vinicius Junior leads the chasing pack.

May 28, 2024 • 10:42 ET • 4 min read
Vinicius Junior Real Madrid EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

With Euro 2024 and Copa America right around the corner, there is a piece of hardware that appears up for grabs to whoever wants it. 

The race for the 2024 Ballon d'Or is unlike anything we've seen before considering we are at the twilight of Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo's careers. 

Instead, we have plenty of fresh young faces vying for the award with Real Madrid superstar Vinicius Junior tabbed as the betting favorite. 

Join me as I break down the soccer odds for the 2024 Ballon d'Or.  

2024 Ballon d'Or odds

Player Name BetTony
Madrid Vinicius Junior +137
Madrid Jude Bellingham +275
Madrid Toni Kroos +699
Bayern Munich Harry Kane +799
Atletico Kylian Mbappe +799
Manchester City Phil Foden +1,199
Manchester City Rodrigo +1,598
Manchester City Erling Haaland +1,998
Manchester City Lionel Messi +2,497
Bayern Munich Florian Wirtz +2,497

Odds as of 5/28/24

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2024 Ballon d'Or favorites

Vinicius Junior Ballon d'Or odds (+137)

In a bit of a shocking twist, Real Madrid winger Vinicius Junior has shot up the Ballon d'Or odds after helping lead his team to not only the La Liga title but a spot in the Champions League Final which is set for June 1. 

His odds have shortened from +1,944 to +120 and if he can find a way to contribute in a big way to Brazil's success at this summer's Copa America, this may be the best price you will get. 

Vini has found the scoresheet 13 times in La Liga play while scoring five and setting up five in nine Champions League appearances. 

He's not only a fan favorite, but beloved by his teammates:

Jude Bellingham Ballon d'Or odds (+275)

After a big-money move from Borussia Dortmund to Real Madrid at the young age of 20, many had doubts about the youngster's ability to handle the pressure. 

Well, Bellingham is now the uncontested leader of a very good Real Madrid side and he's ready to lead England into battle at this summer's Euro Cup. 

Bellingham has been a force in the midfield both defensively and moving forward, scoring 13 goals over his first 13 fixtures in a Madrid shirt. 

He's cooled off a bit offensively, but his role in helping Madrid win La Liga and get into the Champions League Final cannot be understated. Just look at this sublime touch to set up Madrid's opening goal vs. Man City: 

With the rise of Vini's campaign, Bellingham's odds have lengthened to +349 from +325.

Kylian Mbappe Ballon d'Or odds (+799)

There's not much Kylian Mbappe hasn't accomplished in his young career, so it's a bit unfortunate that he's not yet won this prestigious award. 

At age 25, Mbappe is a World Cup winner, has scored a hat trick in a second World Cup final, is a seven-time French Ligue 1 winner, and is Ligue 1's top scorer for the third straight season. 

However, he failed to deliver in the Champions League once again, but finding success at Euro 2024 could go a long way in his case this year. 

Or maybe he's just waiting to win it on a new team next season:

Harry Kane Ballon d'Or odds (+799)

Is Harry Kane a jinx?

This is what Bayern Munich supporters must be asking themselves as the team saw their 11-year reign as German champions dashed by Bayer Leverkusen. This after Kane fled Tottenham in search of greener pastures and trophies. 

However, one would be foolish to blame Kane as he's having an incredible season for Bayern. 

The English striker has netted 36 goals and assisted 8 in 32 matches thus far while adding eight goals and four assists in 12 Champions League fixtures. 

Much like his English counterpart, a good showing at Euro 2024 and success with England could bolster Kane's case. 

What is the Ballon d'Or?

The Ballon d'Or (Golden Ball) is the world's most prestigious men's soccer honor, awarded every year by France Football magazine. The Ballon d'Or is given to the player, worldwide, judged to have had the best individual season both at club level, as well as for his country.

When is the Ballon d'Or awarded?

The Top 3 for the honor will be revealed on September 6 with the winner announced at the 68th annual Ballon d'Or ceremony in Paris on Monday, October 28.

Previous winners of the Ballon d'Or

Year Winner
2023 Lionel Messi
2022 Karim Benzema
2021 Lionel Messi
2019 Lionel Messi
2018 Luka Modric
2017 Cristiano Ronaldo
2016 Cristiano Ronaldo
2015 Lionel Messi
2014 Cristiano Ronaldo
2013 Cristiano Ronaldo
2012 Lionel Messi
2011 Lionel Messi

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