Let me get this straight.
It's down to 2 horses, one is -140 to win it and the other is +120? Then the value bet would be +120 so it's a no-brainer for me!
I don't know the answer to this but what is the total record of each steed for the year and what are the records in Grade 1 races only? Regardless though, I would lean to the +120.
Roused, I don't want to try to talk you off your pick. But to say it's a sure thing is misleading to everyone. Sure there are quite a lot of reasons to bet on Blame, but there are also quite a few reasons to bet on Zenyatta. I'll just cover these angles for Zenyatta. Unlike last year, Blame hasn't brought out the passion that Rachel Alexandra did. The east coast (where most of the votes will come from) isn't attached to Blame. A few east coast writers who voted against Zenyatta last year have already said they will vote for Zenyatta this year. Pricci even stated that he's voting for Zenyatta EVEN BEFORE THE BC CLASSIC, AND EVEN IF SHE LOSES THE CLASSIC. The media coverage of Zenyatta has surpassed Secretariat's . Zenyatta is the most popular horse in horse racing history.
Go ahead and make your bet, Roused, but to others, consider.
i respect your opinion but your way off here. blame didnt have that good of a year if you really analize it. 1st race a pimlico he bet nobody with a dream trip, then in the stephen foster he ran down a speed horse that came back injured after the race, he ran a very good race in the woodward but quality road looks like he's been overatted, jockey club he couldnt run down haynesfield thats new york bred stakes horse, and then in the classic he ran very well and won but was obvious to all that he wasnt the best horse in that race. zenyatta has the same thing against her but she obviously was better then blame in the classic and is going to get votes. its really up in the air as to who is going to win.....to say blame is a lock is just moronic.
No, she is an amazing animal and I hate to see her retire, but she didn't beat much this year. Also, if it were say an All Star Game, she would win, but the writers vote and they have an East Coast and Dirt bias. Again, I will bet everything I have that Blame wins it. Most books are maxed at $100 because its not a event, but a vote. I will lay 1/3 to any of you. Its a lock.
hey roused, looks like they"ll be backing the truck up to your house. hahaha where's your absolute lock at now????
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