I have won 16 of 22 games with a system I have been using ONLY in NCAA B-Ball

Believe me or not I dont give a rats ass.

Last night my games were Middle Tenn St. And Miami(Ohio)

Here what you do


Take team A

Say that team A is avg 66 PPG on Offense

Team B is AVG 58

Now team A is favored by 8 points.

Now move on to defense

Say team A is giving up 57 PPG and team is giving up 63

Now team is is favored another 6 on defense. 6+ 8 =14

What do u do with this?

BET THE OPPOSITE

but NEVER BET WITH THE PUBLIC!!!!!!

UNLESS the favorite is getting less than 55% support.

So team A is favored by 14 in my theory

Say the vegas line is TEAM A -6. they are only 6 points better but the damn Vegas line for some reason has them at -14 and the public thinks team B is going to cover then you take the bad line. becuase Vegas expects you to take the DOG.

Now if team A in our line was 8 points better but were giving 2 you take the dog because the public will always take the fav becuase the line is low.

Example tonight

Drake is avg 69 PPG
GaS is AVG 66

Drake -3

Defense Drake gives up an Avg of 62 and GaS gives up 78

so minus another 16

Drake in my line should be favored by 16+3=19

The real line is Drake -12

The public has Drake 75%

The play is Ga Southern +12

Ill probably lose tonight but this shit seriously works. NBA also but not as well as totals. I have develooped a killer team total system in the NBA Ill get to that whenever

I will not reveal that source.

 

then why the hell you telling us??isnt it a site to help others make money..not to see how many people tail you and your hot streak?

wassup Jim howya been?

About 6 points or higher. NOTHING less. UNLESS its like tonight with such a high faovord for Drake.

That was that im not revealing the source. of public plays. I dont want anything to skew it.

...been good bud...gl

By any chance is there any backtesting results from prior seasons or anything of the sorts that would help provide support to this system?

Besides the fact, the betting gods are smiling on you for now.
Keep it up, good job.

Yea I used it last year for the NBA but decided the totals system worked better. But it did work. Not as well as the NBA

Another game

Iowa -9 should be -3

Basically sounds like a public fade system to me.  All that you are doing is looking at the numbers and seeing if the public's opinion is reinforced by the numbers and therefore the public should definitely be on it.  Sort of a chicken or egg thing.  What determines the public's betting more, the "bad" line, the numbers or both?  Either way, you are just finding reason why the public would be on the bad line because the team they pick "should" win, but you seem to be seeing the opposite. 

I apologize if that explanation seems judgemental, it's not meant to be.  I just re-read it and it sounded that way and I apologize for that, just trying to reconcile the logic in my head.  Sometimes I'm too blunt for my own good. 

Good luck with your system.  I am currently on Drake (so against you) and on Iowa (so with you).  One of us will most likely win something!

 

so how do you determine a bad line, how many points does it have to be off the vegas line?? im am guessing something like 6 points either way, just a guess

so for example tomorrow we Tenn vs Temple

according to y our system

OFF
tenn-87 ppg

TEmple-69 ppg

Tenn -18

Def  Tenn 71  Temple 67 Temple -4

Line should be Tenn -14

now i have to wait and see what the public does?? and what site do i go to to find what the public is betting on??

your insight would be much appreciated, thanks so much

 

 

Fer you got but you have add in home court for a big game like this at temp add another 3  points so TENN -11...


Here is the 3 games i have lined up for tomorrow

KU, PURDUE, AND UCLA FOR MY FADED SYSTEM PLAYS...

 hey bird, i just use the overall avg stats, instead of the home/aways stats correct??

thanks for the input on home court

can you check out eastern kentucky i have them as being a 7 point fav after taking off the 3 points as visitor, and they are getting 5???

thanks