Las Vegas and New Orleans Bowls ***In Depth Analysis/Pick!***

Best of luck to all of you! Please reply with any comments or questions. T-Bo.

3:30 PM Eastern Time
Washington vs Boise State
Location:Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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Projected weather: Mid 50's with 7 MPH wind
Line: Boise State -5.5
Over/Under: 43.5                      
*Sportsbook: Intertops

Public Consensus:
ATS 73% of the public is on Boise State
Money Line 74% is on Boise State
Over/Under 64% are on the over
***Still early these numbers are subject to change as the day goes on

Washington 7-5
*7-5 ATS on the year
*4-1 (SU) in last 5 games
*4 Overs/7 Unders
More Information:
-Wash. ranks 34 out of 120 teams in total defense (Pass:21st Run:46th).
-Outscored opponents 100-49 in last three games.
-Has had a month to prepare for this bowl game.
-Ranks 101st in total offensive yards
-Tied 49th in country in sacks
-103rd in passes defended
-Tied 17th with Boise in Interceptions
-99th in total first downs on the year
-101st in 3rd down conversion percentage
-207 Penalties for 1,824 yards. Ranked 120th in the league (Higher the rank the worse)

Boise State 10-2
*6-6 ATS on the year
*2-4 ATS in last six games
*10-1 SU in last eleven games
*5 Overs/7 Unders
More Information:
-Won last two  Maaco Las Vegas Bowl's
-Ranks 9th overall defense in FBS (Pass:13th, Rush:72)
-Only allowed 3 passing touchdowns all season
-Ranks 13th in the country in sacks
-Tied 67th in passes defended
-Tied 17th with Washington in Interceptions
-58th in total first downs
-32nd in 3rd down conversion percentage
-113 penalties for 1,034 yards.. ranked 29th in league(recorded by least amount given up)

My Thoughts/My Pick
At first glance I was leaning towards Washington and how they had an extra week to prepare for this game, but then I did a little more research. Washington is an undisciplined team ranking nearly dead last in penalties. A combination of that and the Boise State defense bringing the pressure to Keith Price (who has been inconsistent and loses composure when sacked), Boise should win/cover this game. Boise defense has been stellar all year and it continues today.
Boise State -5.5

12:00 PM Eastern Time
ECU vs U.L. Lafayette
Location:Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana.
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Projected weather: Low 60's with 5 MPH wind
Line: UL Lafayette -6.5
Over/Under: 66.5                      
*Sportsbook: Intertops

Public Consensus:
ATS 72% of the public is on UL-Lafayette
Money Line 71% seem to feel there is value in ECU
Over/Under 88% are on the over

ECU 8-4
*6-6 ATS on the year
*2-4 ATS on the road (more of a home game for UL Lafayette)
*7 Overs/5 Unders
More Information:
-ECU ranks 105 out of 120 teams in pass defense.
-ECU scored 141 points in their current 3 game win streak. That averages out to 47 points per game. They also let up 110 points in those 3 games, averaging out to 37 points a game.
-ECU averages 5.7 yards per play in their last ten games.
-Shane Carden, ECU quarterback, has threw for 300+ yards in 4 of his last 6 games.
-ECU has reached over 500 total yards in 3 of their last 10 games, once reaching 600 yards even.

U.L. Lafayette 8-4
*8-4 ATS on the year
*5-1 ATS at home(more of a home game for UL Lafayette)
*6 Overs/4 Unders/1 Push
*4 Overs/0 Unders/1 Push at home
More Information:
-ULL won this same bowl game last season 32-30 against San Diego State.
-ULL ranks 111 out of 120 teams in pass defense.
-ULL scored 118 points in their current 3 game win streak, averaging out to 39 points per game. They allowed 78 points which averages to 26 points per game.
-ULL averages 6.8 yards per play in their last ten games.
-ULL has reached over 500 total yards in 4 of their last 10 games, once reaching 607 yards.

My Thoughts/My Pick
Okay well with all that being said, I generally do not go with the public when it is this high of a percentage, but I will be sticking with the OVER. There is WAYYY too much pointing at a shootout/points galore in this one. I love this pick and can not wait for this game to start! Best of luck all hope I helped.
Over 66.5

Please go kick rocks buddy

Quote Originally Posted by yomh1964:

waouuuuuuu,good information bro.well  done,tks,bol

Thanks man!

Quote Originally Posted by Spida:

GL Today!

Thanks buddy you too!

Just an update wanted to let ya'll know I got Boise State at -4.5 I waited until before game time and unfortunately I got Over 68 for ULL and ECU game but I am still very confident!

Appreciate the input man that was definitely helpful. I really don't see Washington getting past 14 in this game. I could be wrong but no one is giving Boise any credit. Go Broncos!