Posted:
#51
CSJL 77-78 AU
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CrazyMilkMan's UAAP, NCAA, PBA [Local Hoops in the Philippines] Betting Thread
Posted:
#55
3 games, 12 quarters, smb has dominated only 1 quarter, all the rest have been evenly fought
alaska committed 11 turns in the game deciding 2nd quarter of last game and i doubt it happens again
it was alaska's carelessness instead of the press that made alaska commit those turns if you watched game 3...
anyway alaska+6.5 for me
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Posted:
#69
Quote Originally Posted by XhuegoX:
CMM, how do you have the time to follow so many sports/leagues? I was surprised when you posted soccer writeups and now this 
good shit man...keep up the great work 
Since NBA isn't here yet I focused on local sports and even soccer in World Cup. Gotta love it when you make the killing. It keeps you to update things and give value into capping games.
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Posted:
#71
Quote Originally Posted by this_is_it:
but why is the line set that way? if their gonna win today then it should be +6 or even 7 for alaska
but why is the line set that way? if their gonna win today then it should be +6 or even 7 for alaska
To begin with line should always be 4 and less between both teams. San Miguel was a 3-point fave in their first match up this season where they won only by 5 points (that was their second game in the conference where they lost the first game by 6 points to the old TNT squad). The 2nd game in the conference, Alaska was a 6-point dog and that was when after they won/cover 2 of their last 5.
The books don't respect Alaska that much which explains the line set during their games in the play offs. I think 4.5 is a bit high and should be around 4 or lower. That's pretty much IMO the right line for the series. Here's how the Aces looked in the playoffs:
Ginebra Series
Game 1: Alaska -1.5 (Alaska won by 2) 1-0
Game 2: Alaska +1.5 (Alaska won by 2) 2-0
Game 3: Alaska +3.5 (Ginebra won by 4) 2-1
Game 4: Alaska +1.5 (Ginebra won by 4) 2-2
Game 5: Alaska -1.5 (Alaska won by 2) 3-2 - I think this was one hell of a cover with only a second left and Cyrus Baguio was fouled by Menk then went to sink one free throw for the cover.
Talk n Text Series
Game 1: Alaska +5.5 (Alaska won by 16) 1-0
Game 2: Alaska +5.0 (TNT won by 6) 1-1
Game 3: Alaska +5.5 (Alaska won by 4) 2-1
Game 4: Alaska +5.5 (TNT won by 21) 2-2
Game 5: Alaska +4.0 (TNT won by 1) 2-3
Game 6: Alaska +2.5 (Alaska won by 11) 3-3
Game 7: Alaska +1.5 (Alaska won by 9) 4-2
San Miguel Series
Game 1: Alaska +5.5 (Alaska won by 6) 1-0
Game 2: Alaska +6.0 (Alaska won by 4) 2-0
Game 3: Alaska +5.5 (SMB won by 16) 2-1
Game 4: Alaska +5.0 (Alaska won by 7) 3-1
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Posted:
#72
I take it that the 4.5 line you saw was from bet365. Megasports world have them at 4.5 as well. The locals will most likely stick to 5 or 5.5 where the rest of the series were at. Don't think too much of the line movement. If there's anything, it is most likely due to the fact that the books/linesmaker are respecting the Aces at the moment and giving them the decent line to perhaps ask for more SMB backers.
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