The Falcon's Nest (Sports Betting Program)

Hello guys, in this thread, i am going to bring you (hopefully) the best of what i can do in this business.. I am making no guarantees but i would like to document the plays here --- in this thread.

Here is a "rough" business plan, outlining the thread... Remember this is what works best for me, not everyone else... I am just a poster... I have no website, no email list, no tout business, just a poster documenting plays in a thread (nothing more).

1. 75 plays per month: this is the number that works best for me. 50 is not enough and 100 is too many... i like to win and this is my comfort zone. the plays will roughly be broken down in this manner.

Mon-Fri: Best 2 plays each day........... Saturday will be broken into 2 sessions, so essentially we will have a 8 day betting week, so 4 plays on saturday... Sunday will be the best 2 plays, with a Bonus play thrown in, so 3 plays on sunday.. then a couple times each month, there will be 2 bonus plays... for example, bowl games, day baseball, college bb tourneys..

but roughly this gets me to about 75 plays each month...

2. the juice on my Losses must average (-1.10) or lower. i will work to make this happen... this does not mean that i will never make a play over (-1.10), there will be times that i have to play totals with higher juice but the juice will average (-1.10) or lower for the losses.. this will be a top priority for me in this thread.

3. Each play will be listed as a 2 unit play... this simply means that im risking 2% of my bankroll on each play... 1% is not agressive enough for me and 3% is too aggressive... 2% is where i feel comfortable.. I also like the idea of re-calculating your bankroll daily... this will allow you to automatically lower and raise bets, depending on how your doing...

I would like to hit (58.7%) or better, against a (-1.10) line but im making no promises, i learned my lesson there...

the plays will come from everything that i have available, this means computer program, connections in the business and personal handicapping..

the plays will be super easy to follow, if you choose to do so... but if you do, you are responsible...

enough rambling, i do plan to run this thread for quite some time and if things do not work out, im going to take a break until mlb season.. i do not lose money, nor do i plan to start in this thread.

back later today with the first plays for this thread...

Falcon

thanks guys, this will be a no pressure thread for me.... i think we will win but cant guarantee anything..

i do guarantee to show up daily and post my plays..

im going to keep this very simple... my outline is posted in the first post, so refer to it, if needed, ill be doing that...

Thread Record: 0-0 (+/- 0.00 units)

2 plays for thursday dec 16

1. Denver Nuggets (+1.00) ML  (2.00 units to win 2.00 units)

2. 49ers Over 44 (-1.10) (2.20 units to win 2.00 units)

good luck today guys....

a wise man once told me, "play 2 of them, you might win one"..

i didnt like that for a very long time but ive come to understand what he was saying... my daily goal is to not get swept and every once in a while win both of the plays...

as i said, i hope this thread runs for a very long time and is profitable.. i dont want to be judged on 1 day or 1 week... i do like to look at monthly records... we have just over a half month left in december, with a lot of bowl games... i anticpipate about 40 plays for the remainder of december, lets look at the performance on Jan1.

Falcon

This from a buddy of mine who lives in southern Cal.

wow blaaze, it never dawned on me to check the weather in SD.. i just assumed every day was 75 and sunny...

wish i had this info earlier.... ill ride it out and learn a lesson (if i must)...

Falcon

Sounds good Falcon, I'm gonna follow ur thread for the long stretch let's do this, GL

goodluck wizkid: ill show up every day, meaning we will have action every day, i take no days off... ill do my best but promise nothing...

i know i can win and will work to prove it, in this thread...

Falcon

thanks Johnny, glad to hear that...

Falcon

From past experience the Thinkers long haul is 1/12 of what it should be.  Hopefully this thread is different good luck to all of you.

oilcountry, i probably deserved that... but honestly i just want to post my plays and hopefully win some money... i have posted plays in this forum every single day since sept 5..... thats with no days off... ill show up... ill win, simple as that..

im not limiting myself to one thing.... im ready to win and will do whatever it takes to make that happen...

Falcon

line has moved to 44.5 at most places now...

today is day 1 of what is going to be a long journey for this thread. i know we will be profitable, maybe not today but as the plays mount we will be profitable...

hopefully we are like a stock, that is opening today at ($0.00), couldnt be a better time to get on board...

i feel as though that i was very close to something but i was limiting myself, this thread will be about doing whatever it takes to win at this business...

seriously though, nothing but best wishes to each of you...

Falcon

btw Thinker, someone is bitching about you in Covers help saying you only post plays and should not post here. Bunch of damn crybabies here

Looks like Chargers will cover the number on their own! BOL

Thread Record: 0-2 (-4.20 units) (0%)

plays for friday dec 17

3. Utah Jazz (-1.10) ML (2.20 units to win 2.00 units)

4. Redwings Over 5.5 goals (-1.20) (2.40 units to win 2.00 units)

back saturday

Falcon

You got nobody to blame, but yourself SMDIO.  

This has to be the shortest thread I have ever seen on this site.

Thinker - you deserve all the shit being thrown at you and NOT because of your record. You simply can't keep your word. Here is is your first post a couple days ago...

"i dont want to be judged on 1 day or 1 week... i do like to look at monthly records... we have just over a half month left in december, with a lot of bowl games... i anticpipate about 40 plays for the remainder of december, lets look at the performance on Jan1."

Quote Originally Posted by BigD_Texas:

i am now in contact with thinker outside of this site


have fun you awful trolls

You are a dork.