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    All Forums | College Football

    !!!!! CFB Week 7 !!!!!

    123 Next Last»
    oddsbuster
    shakey12381
    joeale
    aggieaccountant
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    123 Next Last»
     
    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 4:50 AM ET #1

    31-22-2ytd +30units...

    4-3 POD's +12 units...

    7-6 last week netting +9 units while nailing the POD with Northern Illinois. However don't be fooled last week was no easy task as there was timely 2nd half plays combined with some late night adds that turned last Saturday into a positive day. Heres last weeks thread below:

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101149624&page=1

     

    Getting started early this week. Be back shortly with something...

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    31-22-2ytd +30units...

    4-3 POD's +12 units...

    7-6 last week netting +9 units while nailing the POD with Northern Illinois. However don't be fooled last week was no easy task as there was timely 2nd half plays combined with some late night adds that turned last Saturday into a positive day. Heres last weeks thread below:

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101149624&page=1

     

    Getting started early this week. Be back shortly with something...

     
    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 5:34 AM ET #2

    Lean list:

    Toledo -7...(Loving them this week)

    Rice @ Marshall under 51.5... (offense, really where at?)

    Duke +13.5...(Fla st is not what people thought they were and Sean Renfree is no slouch)

    Western Michigan -1.5...(The Huskies defense is in a horrible spot this week against that Bronco offense)

    North Texas +9...(They just keep covering. Giving them 9 could be a mistake here within the conference)

    Kansas St +3...( Tech plays 2 real football teams in a row. They already lost to the 1st one. Hmmm)

    NorthWestern +6...( Iowa's offense scares no one)

    Memphis +16...(ECU is not even close to what they were last season yet they favs by more than 3pt's of last years game @ ECU...)

    Stanford -20...(Just try and fade Standford. Let me know how that works out for you the rest of the season...)

    Fresno St +3.5...( This is a big game for Fresno this week...)

    Time to formulate some plays!!!!

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    Lean list:

    Toledo -7...(Loving them this week)

    Rice @ Marshall under 51.5... (offense, really where at?)

    Duke +13.5...(Fla st is not what people thought they were and Sean Renfree is no slouch)

    Western Michigan -1.5...(The Huskies defense is in a horrible spot this week against that Bronco offense)

    North Texas +9...(They just keep covering. Giving them 9 could be a mistake here within the conference)

    Kansas St +3...( Tech plays 2 real football teams in a row. They already lost to the 1st one. Hmmm)

    NorthWestern +6...( Iowa's offense scares no one)

    Memphis +16...(ECU is not even close to what they were last season yet they favs by more than 3pt's of last years game @ ECU...)

    Stanford -20...(Just try and fade Standford. Let me know how that works out for you the rest of the season...)

    Fresno St +3.5...( This is a big game for Fresno this week...)

    Time to formulate some plays!!!!

     
    shakey12381
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 7:52 AM ET #3

    gl odds like duke waiting for a 14 stanford not touching there games rest of year just because of a comment like yours
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    gl odds like duke waiting for a 14 stanford not touching there games rest of year just because of a comment like yours
     
    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 8:13 AM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by shakey12381:

    gl odds like duke waiting for a 14 stanford not touching there games rest of year just because of a comment like yours
    I was thinking the same thing regarding Duke as well...
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    Quote Originally Posted by shakey12381:

    gl odds like duke waiting for a 14 stanford not touching there games rest of year just because of a comment like yours
    I was thinking the same thing regarding Duke as well...
     
    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 8:27 AM ET #5

    1st play is:

    Western Michigan -1.5 for 20 units... This game sets up to be a shootout. I think the biggest reason your seeing a total of 68ish up on the board for this game is basically because the Northern Illinois defense is just that bad. Western Michigan has the better defense and I think that will be the difference in this game. Sign me up for the Bronco's on the road within the conference laying less then a fg against a very bad defense..POD

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    1st play is:

    Western Michigan -1.5 for 20 units... This game sets up to be a shootout. I think the biggest reason your seeing a total of 68ish up on the board for this game is basically because the Northern Illinois defense is just that bad. Western Michigan has the better defense and I think that will be the difference in this game. Sign me up for the Bronco's on the road within the conference laying less then a fg against a very bad defense..POD

     
    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 8:37 AM ET #6

    2nd play is:

    Rice  @ Marshall  under 51.5 for 20 units... When you travel to play teams like Texas, Baylor & Southern Miss and your defense is not that good to begin with, these are situations that will make your defense look even worse than they really are. The most important facts involving this game though should not be spoken of what either one of the defenses can do but more so about how both of these offense's have major issues moving the ball as Marshall currently just averaging 271ypg & Rice currently averaging just 314ypg. I think the books have this one about a TD to high as they clearly feel these defense's will allow more than I expect with 2 putrid offense's. If your looking for an ugly game to watch this Saturday this is the game to find on the tube...

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    2nd play is:

    Rice  @ Marshall  under 51.5 for 20 units... When you travel to play teams like Texas, Baylor & Southern Miss and your defense is not that good to begin with, these are situations that will make your defense look even worse than they really are. The most important facts involving this game though should not be spoken of what either one of the defenses can do but more so about how both of these offense's have major issues moving the ball as Marshall currently just averaging 271ypg & Rice currently averaging just 314ypg. I think the books have this one about a TD to high as they clearly feel these defense's will allow more than I expect with 2 putrid offense's. If your looking for an ugly game to watch this Saturday this is the game to find on the tube...

     
    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 8:41 AM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster:

    2nd play is:

    Rice  @ Marshall  under 51.5 for 20 units... When you travel to play teams like Texas, Baylor & Southern Miss and your defense is not that good to begin with, these are situations that will make your defense look even worse than they really are. The most important facts involving this game though should not be spoken of what either one of the defenses can do but more so about how both of these offense's have major issues moving the ball as Marshall currently just averaging 271ypg & Rice currently averaging just 314ypg. I think the books have this one about a TD to high as they clearly feel these defense's will allow more than I expect with 2 putrid offense's. If your looking for an ugly game to watch this Saturday this is the game to find on the tube...

    Also an important note on this game should be that the Thundering herd average just 13.2ppg while playing to the under 5 times already this season. Here are the total's set for their 6 games prior to this match up, 52.5, 51, 47.5, 46.5, 46 & 41.5. Yet the books are allowing another 50+ total to sit on the board this week in a Marshall game....
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    Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster:

    2nd play is:

    Rice  @ Marshall  under 51.5 for 20 units... When you travel to play teams like Texas, Baylor & Southern Miss and your defense is not that good to begin with, these are situations that will make your defense look even worse than they really are. The most important facts involving this game though should not be spoken of what either one of the defenses can do but more so about how both of these offense's have major issues moving the ball as Marshall currently just averaging 271ypg & Rice currently averaging just 314ypg. I think the books have this one about a TD to high as they clearly feel these defense's will allow more than I expect with 2 putrid offense's. If your looking for an ugly game to watch this Saturday this is the game to find on the tube...

    Also an important note on this game should be that the Thundering herd average just 13.2ppg while playing to the under 5 times already this season. Here are the total's set for their 6 games prior to this match up, 52.5, 51, 47.5, 46.5, 46 & 41.5. Yet the books are allowing another 50+ total to sit on the board this week in a Marshall game....
     
    joeale
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 9:23 AM ET #8

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    aggieaccountant
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 9:50 AM ET #9

    Oddsbuster-

    On your K-State lean, add-in that the game against A&M was the home game of the year for them.  Both sides hate each other.  Heck, they made shirts for that game.  Then to lose is very deflating for them.  They will have a letdown after putting everything they had into that one.

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    Oddsbuster-

    On your K-State lean, add-in that the game against A&M was the home game of the year for them.  Both sides hate each other.  Heck, they made shirts for that game.  Then to lose is very deflating for them.  They will have a letdown after putting everything they had into that one.

     
    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 10:22 AM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by aggieaccountant:

    Oddsbuster-

    On your K-State lean, add-in that the game against A&M was the home game of the year for them.  Both sides hate each other.  Heck, they made shirts for that game.  Then to lose is very deflating for them.  They will have a letdown after putting everything they had into that one.

     Hard to see Tech giving the same effort again for the second week in a row. I agree you have to believe they fall short this week. Sopmething a team like K-State should take advantage of...
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    Quote Originally Posted by aggieaccountant:

    Oddsbuster-

    On your K-State lean, add-in that the game against A&M was the home game of the year for them.  Both sides hate each other.  Heck, they made shirts for that game.  Then to lose is very deflating for them.  They will have a letdown after putting everything they had into that one.

     Hard to see Tech giving the same effort again for the second week in a row. I agree you have to believe they fall short this week. Sopmething a team like K-State should take advantage of...
     
    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 8:30 PM ET #11

    3rd play is:

    North Texas +9 for 20 units... I'm biting on this one now as it looks to be on teh move downwards at some books. I really like the value here within the conference, Dunbar is a machine!!!...

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    3rd play is:

    North Texas +9 for 20 units... I'm biting on this one now as it looks to be on teh move downwards at some books. I really like the value here within the conference, Dunbar is a machine!!!...

     
    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2011 - 2:06 AM ET #12

    4th play is:

    Southern California -3 for 20 units.... When I see a team like Colorado put up simalar number's to what Oregon did to Cal on the offensive side of the ball. That raises a major red flag. Colorado put up 582 yards of offense on Cal this year with 474 of those yards by way of air. Oregon dropped 563 yards of offense on Cal with most of their yards coming on the ground @ 365. Even Washington got in on the offensive action this year as they put up 409 yards of offense on Cal with 292 in the air. This just in after reviewing all of that. USC qb Matt Barkley is currently completing 70% of his passes for 8.4ypc with almost 1600 yards passing in just 5 games. Hard to see California stteping up to this disadvantage that's starring them in the face as their defense clearly is having trouble stopping team's with a pulse. I'm jumping on the Lane Kiffin kick them while their down train to get me off on the right foot this week...POD

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    4th play is:

    Southern California -3 for 20 units.... When I see a team like Colorado put up simalar number's to what Oregon did to Cal on the offensive side of the ball. That raises a major red flag. Colorado put up 582 yards of offense on Cal this year with 474 of those yards by way of air. Oregon dropped 563 yards of offense on Cal with most of their yards coming on the ground @ 365. Even Washington got in on the offensive action this year as they put up 409 yards of offense on Cal with 292 in the air. This just in after reviewing all of that. USC qb Matt Barkley is currently completing 70% of his passes for 8.4ypc with almost 1600 yards passing in just 5 games. Hard to see California stteping up to this disadvantage that's starring them in the face as their defense clearly is having trouble stopping team's with a pulse. I'm jumping on the Lane Kiffin kick them while their down train to get me off on the right foot this week...POD

     
    BigUnit
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2011 - 8:55 AM ET #13

    Got any winners?  
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    Got any winners?  
     
    clemezl
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2011 - 3:26 PM ET #14

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    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2011 - 10:09 AM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by clemezl:

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    Quote Originally Posted by clemezl:

     
    TommyGunzz
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2011 - 10:12 AM ET #16

    Why are your POD wager size the same as your regular play wager size. Just wondering Bro good Luck.
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    Why are your POD wager size the same as your regular play wager size. Just wondering Bro good Luck.
     
    Handicapper33
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2011 - 11:43 AM ET #17

    USC can't stop anyone and is on the road. Would not trust them to win with Kiffin at the helm for anything. The over looks good. Both teams defense are like swiss cheese.
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    USC can't stop anyone and is on the road. Would not trust them to win with Kiffin at the helm for anything. The over looks good. Both teams defense are like swiss cheese.
     
    capskip
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2011 - 12:38 PM ET #18

    On a couple & bol this weekend oddsbuster....
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    On a couple & bol this weekend oddsbuster....
     
    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2011 - 2:56 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by Handicapper33:

    USC can't stop anyone and is on the road. Would not trust them to win with Kiffin at the helm for anything. The over looks good. Both teams defense are like swiss cheese.
    Sure but they have no problem outscoring their opponents as last year under Kiffin the Trojan's went 5-2su & 5-2ats on the road. The Trojan's have played only one game on the road so far this season against a very tough defense in Arizona St in which they lost 43-22. Arizona St is one hell of a football team on both side's of the ball. Some time's you have to put one's hate aside for aa certain coach or player and thats exactly what i'm doing here with Kiffin. I hate the little weasel but tonight i'm wagering on the SOB....
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    Quote Originally Posted by Handicapper33:

    USC can't stop anyone and is on the road. Would not trust them to win with Kiffin at the helm for anything. The over looks good. Both teams defense are like swiss cheese.
    Sure but they have no problem outscoring their opponents as last year under Kiffin the Trojan's went 5-2su & 5-2ats on the road. The Trojan's have played only one game on the road so far this season against a very tough defense in Arizona St in which they lost 43-22. Arizona St is one hell of a football team on both side's of the ball. Some time's you have to put one's hate aside for aa certain coach or player and thats exactly what i'm doing here with Kiffin. I hate the little weasel but tonight i'm wagering on the SOB....
     
    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2011 - 2:59 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by TommyGunzz:

    Why are your POD wager size the same as your regular play wager size. Just wondering Bro good Luck.
    Well if I was touting these plays then i would rate then on a some sort of scale. Since im not touting im just trying to stay as close to flat betting as I can with larger wager's. Lot's of money each season in CFB and im trying not to leave value in the past...
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    Quote Originally Posted by TommyGunzz:

    Why are your POD wager size the same as your regular play wager size. Just wondering Bro good Luck.
    Well if I was touting these plays then i would rate then on a some sort of scale. Since im not touting im just trying to stay as close to flat betting as I can with larger wager's. Lot's of money each season in CFB and im trying not to leave value in the past...
     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2011 - 3:23 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster:

    Sure but they have no problem outscoring their opponents as last year under Kiffin the Trojan's went 5-2su & 5-2ats on the road. The Trojan's have played only one game on the road so far this season against a very tough defense in Arizona St in which they lost 43-22. Arizona St is one hell of a football team on both side's of the ball. Some time's you have to put one's hate aside for aa certain coach or player and thats exactly what i'm doing here with Kiffin. I hate the little weasel but tonight i'm wagering on the SOB....

      That's why I really like the OVER. 

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster:

    Sure but they have no problem outscoring their opponents as last year under Kiffin the Trojan's went 5-2su & 5-2ats on the road. The Trojan's have played only one game on the road so far this season against a very tough defense in Arizona St in which they lost 43-22. Arizona St is one hell of a football team on both side's of the ball. Some time's you have to put one's hate aside for aa certain coach or player and thats exactly what i'm doing here with Kiffin. I hate the little weasel but tonight i'm wagering on the SOB....

      That's why I really like the OVER. 

     

     
    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2011 - 3:59 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

      That's why I really like the OVER. 

     

     Yeah the over does seem to be the only play as far as total wagering goes tonight. Last season the Trojan's road games played to the under @ 4-3. Yet this total seem's very low in relation to both teams performances so far this year @ 58.5. Last season the Trojan's and the Kiffin family held the Bear's to just 14pt's and just 246 yards of offense. That's what has me off this total at the moment as the Bear's offense I think is the fool's gold in tonight's game. The Bear's number's are reflected from playing defenses's that rank 74th, 64th, 101st & 83rd. Presbyterian was slammed in the middle of that mess as well a team the Bear's dropped 63pt's on. The Trojan's defense is actually the best defense they will have faced thus far this season just based on number's and with the all mighty Monte Kiffin on the crew I think I'll side with the action of the Bear's finally playing a decent team. Keep in mind this is the same Cal team that just put up only 23pt's on the Huskie's who currently rank 101st in defense and just 15pt's against Oregon who rank just 83rd. Just reading through all of this my brain is telling me USC can win this game with a one sided affair tonight. I'm thinking something of the nature of 42-17 ish range. Good luck on your over bet's tonight  everyone I just cannot find the courage to wager on teh over because of the Kiffin factor which played out well last season for the Trojan's. Hate Lane but Monte is a freaking mastermind...
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    Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

      That's why I really like the OVER. 

     

     Yeah the over does seem to be the only play as far as total wagering goes tonight. Last season the Trojan's road games played to the under @ 4-3. Yet this total seem's very low in relation to both teams performances so far this year @ 58.5. Last season the Trojan's and the Kiffin family held the Bear's to just 14pt's and just 246 yards of offense. That's what has me off this total at the moment as the Bear's offense I think is the fool's gold in tonight's game. The Bear's number's are reflected from playing defenses's that rank 74th, 64th, 101st & 83rd. Presbyterian was slammed in the middle of that mess as well a team the Bear's dropped 63pt's on. The Trojan's defense is actually the best defense they will have faced thus far this season just based on number's and with the all mighty Monte Kiffin on the crew I think I'll side with the action of the Bear's finally playing a decent team. Keep in mind this is the same Cal team that just put up only 23pt's on the Huskie's who currently rank 101st in defense and just 15pt's against Oregon who rank just 83rd. Just reading through all of this my brain is telling me USC can win this game with a one sided affair tonight. I'm thinking something of the nature of 42-17 ish range. Good luck on your over bet's tonight  everyone I just cannot find the courage to wager on teh over because of the Kiffin factor which played out well last season for the Trojan's. Hate Lane but Monte is a freaking mastermind...
     
    getyourgameon
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2011 - 12:38 AM ET #23

    gj on tonight's win keep it up
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    gj on tonight's win keep it up
     
    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2011 - 4:46 AM ET #24

    Southern California -3 for 20 units....

     

    1-0 on Thursday night netting +20 units....

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    Southern California -3 for 20 units....

     

    1-0 on Thursday night netting +20 units....

     
     
    oddsbuster
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2011 - 11:47 AM ET #25

    I'm passing on tonight's game. Maybe a possible 2nd half wager after I get a chance to see how thing's should play out. Iv'e got a real bad taste in my mouth after watching that very fishy performance from Bryant Moniz on septtember 17th earlier this year @ UNLV. I watched Moniz time and time again flop around on the field fumbling the football all over the place along with over throwing wide open recievers on countless occasions by many yards. What was even more red flag raising about Moniz's performance was when they let David Graves play qb on the last drive of the game as he proceeded to complete all 5 of his passes easily marching the Warrior's down the field for an effortless TD vs that putrid defense of UNLV only to go for a 2 pt conversion and get tackled short. Now i'm not saying that game was fixed but anyone who watched that game that has a brain would have to question Moniz's play especially how easy Graves made it look at the end of the game. And of course I had over 60.5 in that game which lost on that 2 pt conversion that failed as they final score was 40-20. These 2 team's have more question's mark's than my wife's attidude on a rainy day. So i will politely step aside and try and formulate some other stronger plays for saturday...
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    I'm passing on tonight's game. Maybe a possible 2nd half wager after I get a chance to see how thing's should play out. Iv'e got a real bad taste in my mouth after watching that very fishy performance from Bryant Moniz on septtember 17th earlier this year @ UNLV. I watched Moniz time and time again flop around on the field fumbling the football all over the place along with over throwing wide open recievers on countless occasions by many yards. What was even more red flag raising about Moniz's performance was when they let David Graves play qb on the last drive of the game as he proceeded to complete all 5 of his passes easily marching the Warrior's down the field for an effortless TD vs that putrid defense of UNLV only to go for a 2 pt conversion and get tackled short. Now i'm not saying that game was fixed but anyone who watched that game that has a brain would have to question Moniz's play especially how easy Graves made it look at the end of the game. And of course I had over 60.5 in that game which lost on that 2 pt conversion that failed as they final score was 40-20. These 2 team's have more question's mark's than my wife's attidude on a rainy day. So i will politely step aside and try and formulate some other stronger plays for saturday...
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