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Against The Public: Week 7.. +54 Units YTD

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+54 Units YTD  (26-8 on picks)  
 
Last Week: 3-0  

I welcome back returning followers of my weekly thread. Last weeks system plays were short and simple and all covered no problems. Hopefully, I can keep up the good work. I will now start adding my NCAAF plays on this main thread. North Texas was a winner as I had +5 and ML last night :)  - Let's get right to Thursday Night Football. I will simply copy and paste the card and add to it as the weekend goes on. Good Luck All and please don't hate me if I don't always end up a winner.

Always do your OWN analysis before betting. If you take my picks, do NO research, and lose, you'll look even dumber for complaining about it.

Thursday 10/18/12

Seattle Seahawks +7.5 - 2 units
 
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Posted: #2
Quote Originally Posted by brendanmc:



Always do your OWN analysis before betting. If you take my picks, do NO research, and lose, you'll look even dumber for complaining about it.



The best statement I have ever seen on this site.................its the disclaimer everyone should have................


Go Seahawks...............
 
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Posted: #3
I'd like to hear your personal analysis,even if short,on why you picked Seattle +7.5? I would appreciate it if you could since after being on here about 10 days in so far you and maybe 2 others on here seem to be quite consistent.
 
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Posted: #4
Very very nice record, but I'm against you here. Niners roll.
 
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BOL 
 
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Posted: #7
SUNDAY LEANS

Tennessee +3

Cleveland +2.5

St. Louis +5.5

Cincinnati +1.5

 
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Quote Originally Posted by rg3skins:

Very very nice record, but I'm against you here. Niners roll.


Yeah so is the whole public. That's the point of me betting Seattle LOL. Good Luck Public.

Who would you rather have your money on, the public's side or casino's? Who proves to be profitable year after year?
 
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Quote Originally Posted by brendanmc:

SUNDAY LEANS

Tennessee +3

Cleveland +2.5

St. Louis +5.5

Cincinnati +1.5


Everyone of those wagers will punch me in the gut should I wager on them.  Every fiber in my body tells me not to bet any of those.  Meaning they all have a really good chance of winning.


 
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The line on GB is the one that gets me the most.  GB only being a 5 point fav over crappy StL.  You know Rodgers is going to put up big numbers against STL so I have to believe that STL will do the same to GB.  Meaning this total will hit in the 50's.  If my analogy is right.

 
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Posted: #11

Think the public is on Seattle.

 
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[Quote: Originally Posted by DA_BOYS] The line on GB is the one that gets me the most.  GB only being a 5 point fav over crappy StL.  You know Rodgers is going to put up big numbers against STL so I have to believe that STL will do the same to GB.  Meaning this total will hit in the 50's.  If my analogy is right.

[/Quote

Yeah not only should Green Bay technically be a higher favorite, but 80% of bets came in on Green Bay at -5.5 and the line did not budge. So if the casino's really were scared that Green Bay would cover, why didn't it go up to -6 or -6.5 to even out the money?

*Something's fishy alert
 
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Thursday 10/18/12

Seattle Seahawks +7.5 - 2 units

Arizona State +7.5 - 1 unit

New York Yankees - 1 unit

St. Louis Cardinals - 2 units
 
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Note that those 2 baseball plays DO NOT fall into my system. My system is purely for NFL and NCAA Football. Just going to start sharing my whole cards for the day to try and help you guys out.

Yes PrimeTimeBoys, that statement needs to be made a lot more around this website!!

 
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What's your take on the line moving from -7 to -9 in NFL?  Is it screaming to pound Seattle with your system?
 
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looks like more bettors are on seattle, but it's pretty close still.
 
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Posted: #17
like all your plays except tonight's game
 
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No, only 36% average is on Seahawks.  I just took the bait for more at +9 -119.  Not sure what to think about recent line movement from -7 to -9, but I added 1 unit more just incase at +9.  Now, I will probably end up losing all, lol.

Back to the point, I use a system similar to yours, and ASU in NCAAF and Seattle both look really good.
 
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Posted: #19
Sorry if I asked this before, but do you post your NCAAF picks?  I wish I would have known you went with N. TX, I was on the wrong side there.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by brendanmc:

SUNDAY LEANS

Tennessee +3

Cleveland +2.5

St. Louis +5.5

Cincinnati +1.5

 

Titans and Bungles for Meeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

 

 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by brendanmc:

Quote Originally Posted by DA_BOYS:

The line on GB is the one that gets me the most.  GB only being a 5 point fav over crappy StL.  You know Rodgers is going to put up big numbers against STL so I have to believe that STL will do the same to GB.  Meaning this total will hit in the 50's.  If my analogy is right.

[/Quote

Yeah not only should Green Bay technically be a higher favorite, but 80% of bets came in on Green Bay at -5.5 and the line did not budge. So if the casino's really were scared that Green Bay would cover, why didn't it go up to -6 or -6.5 to even out the money?

*Something's fishy alert

 

Books been making a killing off of dogs...the favs are not getting alot of love in terms of money action imo. Yes the consensus is high..but how much $$$ is being bet on favs this week? Not much at all...there's alot of cautious players out there when it comes to favs.

 
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Posted: #23
Nice work! Best advice, "do your only research". Like everything in life, you have to put effort into everything you do. Tired of hearing gamblers b*tch and complain.

 
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Quote Originally Posted by brendanmc:

+54 Units YTD  (26-8 on picks)  
 
Last Week: 3-0  

I welcome back returning followers of my weekly thread. Last weeks system plays were short and simple and all covered no problems. Hopefully, I can keep up the good work. I will now start adding my NCAAF plays on this main thread. North Texas was a winner as I had +5 and ML last night :)  - Let's get right to Thursday Night Football. I will simply copy and paste the card and add to it as the weekend goes on. Good Luck All and please don't hate me if I don't always end up a winner.

Always do your OWN analysis before betting. If you take my picks, do NO research, and lose, you'll look even dumber for complaining about it.

Thursday 10/18/12

Seattle Seahawks +7.5 - 2 units

if you are going against the public why are you on seattle....the public is on SEATTLE!!!!!!!..or dont you realize that!!!

besides SAN FRAN is going to kick the shit out of seattle tonite....and  you are betting WITH the public not against the public!!

 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by gd2436:

if you are going against the public why are you on seattle....the public is on SEATTLE!!!!!!!..or dont you realize that!!!

besides SAN FRAN is going to kick the shit out of seattle tonite....and  you are betting WITH the public not against the public!!


Average of 36% of bets taken are on Seahawks.
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