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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    CAP's MLB Query Results (Something for Everyone)

    123 ... 111213 Next Last»
    BCap888
    therizz
    jv040
    3dogphil
    1958a
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    123 ... 111213 Next Last»
     
    BCap888
    BCap888
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    Posted: Apr. 8, 2012 - 5:25 PM ET #1

    Here are some really successful situations I've run back tests on. Results are from 2004-2009:

    System- 1

    Bet the UNDERr when a team goes Under two straight games with total less than 10, and the current total less than 8. (+3.4% ROI) +48.55 Units 

    System- 2

    Bet the UNDER in a game with a total over 10 and one team has gone Over 4 and only 4 straight games. (+8.2% ROI) +15.05 Units

    System- 3

    Bet on a HOME FAV between -120 and -130 after a Loss as a Home Dog. (+8.3% ROI) +30.07 Units

    System- 4

    Bet on the HOME team on the RL when both teams scored over 8 runs in their last game. (+8.8% ROI) +17.19 Units

    System- 5

    Bet a team on the ML when they beat a division opponent by more than 4, their next game is against a division opponent and they’re a Dog. (+9.2 ROI) +83.71 Units

    System- 6

    Bet on a HOME DOG between +130 and +140 after a Loss as a Home Dog. (+9.4% ROI) +24.87 Units

    System- 7

    Bet against a team when they have gone over the total for 4 and only 4 straight games and the current total is 10 or more. (+10.1% ROI) +44.20 Units

    System- 8

    Bet AGAINST a HOME FAV in a division game after losing by 3 or more if the line is between -110 and -130. (+10.2% ROI) +51.60 Units

    System- 9

    Bet a HOME DOG in a division game after winning by 3 or more if the line is between +110 and +180. (+10.8% ROI) +48.60 Units

    System- 10

    Bet on an AWAY FAV between -120 and -140 on the RL in the first game of a series when their opponent won their last game by 5 or more. (+22.3% ROI) +13.99 Units

    System- 11

    Bet the UNDER when a Home Dog has gone Over two straight games, the current total is more than 9.5, and the line is between +110 and +140. (+23.0% ROI) +27.25 Units

    System- 12

    Bet the UNDER when a Home Fav lost by 5 or more in their previous game, when the total was more than 10 and the game went Over. (+34.8% ROI) +30.30 Units

    System- 13

    Bet on the HOME team on the RL or ML when both teams are coming off being shut out. (+84.9% ROI RL / +28.7% ROI ML)  +7.77 Units RL / +7.24 Units ML


    Hopefully you found something you liked. Today these 13 systems produced 3 plays. CLE ML (W), PHI/PIT U7.5 (L), and DET ML (?)

    I'll do my best to post on this when there are plays but no guarantees. GL everybody.


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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Here are some really successful situations I've run back tests on. Results are from 2004-2009:

    System- 1

    Bet the UNDERr when a team goes Under two straight games with total less than 10, and the current total less than 8. (+3.4% ROI) +48.55 Units 

    System- 2

    Bet the UNDER in a game with a total over 10 and one team has gone Over 4 and only 4 straight games. (+8.2% ROI) +15.05 Units

    System- 3

    Bet on a HOME FAV between -120 and -130 after a Loss as a Home Dog. (+8.3% ROI) +30.07 Units

    System- 4

    Bet on the HOME team on the RL when both teams scored over 8 runs in their last game. (+8.8% ROI) +17.19 Units

    System- 5

    Bet a team on the ML when they beat a division opponent by more than 4, their next game is against a division opponent and they’re a Dog. (+9.2 ROI) +83.71 Units

    System- 6

    Bet on a HOME DOG between +130 and +140 after a Loss as a Home Dog. (+9.4% ROI) +24.87 Units

    System- 7

    Bet against a team when they have gone over the total for 4 and only 4 straight games and the current total is 10 or more. (+10.1% ROI) +44.20 Units

    System- 8

    Bet AGAINST a HOME FAV in a division game after losing by 3 or more if the line is between -110 and -130. (+10.2% ROI) +51.60 Units

    System- 9

    Bet a HOME DOG in a division game after winning by 3 or more if the line is between +110 and +180. (+10.8% ROI) +48.60 Units

    System- 10

    Bet on an AWAY FAV between -120 and -140 on the RL in the first game of a series when their opponent won their last game by 5 or more. (+22.3% ROI) +13.99 Units

    System- 11

    Bet the UNDER when a Home Dog has gone Over two straight games, the current total is more than 9.5, and the line is between +110 and +140. (+23.0% ROI) +27.25 Units

    System- 12

    Bet the UNDER when a Home Fav lost by 5 or more in their previous game, when the total was more than 10 and the game went Over. (+34.8% ROI) +30.30 Units

    System- 13

    Bet on the HOME team on the RL or ML when both teams are coming off being shut out. (+84.9% ROI RL / +28.7% ROI ML)  +7.77 Units RL / +7.24 Units ML


    Hopefully you found something you liked. Today these 13 systems produced 3 plays. CLE ML (W), PHI/PIT U7.5 (L), and DET ML (?)

    I'll do my best to post on this when there are plays but no guarantees. GL everybody.


     
    BCap888
    BCap888
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    Posted: Apr. 8, 2012 - 7:38 PM ET #2

    I have a play so far listed for tomorrow:

    System 5- STL +120

    Finished today 2-1

    BOL tonight folks.
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    I have a play so far listed for tomorrow:

    System 5- STL +120

    Finished today 2-1

    BOL tonight folks.
     
    BCap888
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2012 - 10:13 AM ET #3

    Also a System 1 play- CHW/CLE Under 7.5.

    4/9
    System-1 White Sox / Indians U7.5

    System-5 Cardinals +120

    2012:
    Record 2-1
    +$66.66
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    Also a System 1 play- CHW/CLE Under 7.5.

    4/9
    System-1 White Sox / Indians U7.5

    System-5 Cardinals +120

    2012:
    Record 2-1
    +$66.66
     
    BCap888
    BCap888
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2012 - 9:58 PM ET #4

    4/9
    System-1 White Sox / Indians U7.5 (W)

    System-5 Cardinals +120 (W)

    2012:
    Record 4-1
    +$269.99

    Solid Start!

    Stay tuned for tomorrow's plays if there are any. 
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    4/9
    System-1 White Sox / Indians U7.5 (W)

    System-5 Cardinals +120 (W)

    2012:
    Record 4-1
    +$269.99

    Solid Start!

    Stay tuned for tomorrow's plays if there are any. 
     
    therizz
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2012 - 10:30 PM ET #5

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    BCap888
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2012 - 10:53 PM ET #6

    Thus far we have 2 confirmed plays for tomorrow:

    System-1 White Sox / Indians U7.5

    System-3 Indians -120

    2012:
    Record 4-1
    +$269.99
    These are all $100 bets BTW, no matter the line.
    BOL Everyone


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    Thus far we have 2 confirmed plays for tomorrow:

    System-1 White Sox / Indians U7.5

    System-3 Indians -120

    2012:
    Record 4-1
    +$269.99
    These are all $100 bets BTW, no matter the line.
    BOL Everyone


     
    jv040
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2012 - 1:37 PM ET #7

    I don't understand the first filters for the first underdog system please give an example.
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    I don't understand the first filters for the first underdog system please give an example.
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2012 - 1:41 PM ET #8

    are you just betting the next game or is this a chaseing more than one game?
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    are you just betting the next game or is this a chaseing more than one game?
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2012 - 1:50 PM ET #9

    sorry I didn't look that you already had a play for system 1
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    sorry I didn't look that you already had a play for system 1
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2012 - 3:06 PM ET #10

    units won for each system since 2009 or for every year?
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    units won for each system since 2009 or for every year?
     
    BCap888
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2012 - 8:06 PM ET #11

    Since 2004.
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    Since 2004.
     
    3dogphil
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2012 - 8:13 PM ET #12

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    BCap888
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    Posted: Apr. 11, 2012 - 11:13 AM ET #13

    Lots of action today:

    4/11

    System-1
    White Sox / Indians U7
    Cardinals / Reds U7.5
    Rays / Tigers U7
    Angels / Twins U7.5

    System-3
    Padres -120

    System-9
    Blue Jays +110

    2012
    Record: 4-1
    +$269.99

    BOL Everyone
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    Lots of action today:

    4/11

    System-1
    White Sox / Indians U7
    Cardinals / Reds U7.5
    Rays / Tigers U7
    Angels / Twins U7.5

    System-3
    Padres -120

    System-9
    Blue Jays +110

    2012
    Record: 4-1
    +$269.99

    BOL Everyone
     
    BCap888
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2012 - 8:19 AM ET #14

    4/11

    System-1
    White Sox / Indians U7 (L)
    Cardinals / Reds U7.5 (W)
    Rays / Tigers U7 (W)
    Angels / Twins U7.5 (L)

    System-3
    Padres -120 (W)

    System-9
    Blue Jays +110 (W)

    4/11
    Record: 4-2
    +$181.66

    YTD
    Record: 8-3
    +$451.65

    A note for System 1: I'm not going to play any BB situations. Like since the Tigers and Rays went under yesterday they might still be a play today. If they were I wouldn't play it. Hope that made sense. Plays up shortly.

    BOL.
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    4/11

    System-1
    White Sox / Indians U7 (L)
    Cardinals / Reds U7.5 (W)
    Rays / Tigers U7 (W)
    Angels / Twins U7.5 (L)

    System-3
    Padres -120 (W)

    System-9
    Blue Jays +110 (W)

    4/11
    Record: 4-2
    +$181.66

    YTD
    Record: 8-3
    +$451.65

    A note for System 1: I'm not going to play any BB situations. Like since the Tigers and Rays went under yesterday they might still be a play today. If they were I wouldn't play it. Hope that made sense. Plays up shortly.

    BOL.
     
    BCap888
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2012 - 8:27 AM ET #15

    4/12

    System-1
    Dodgers / Pirates U7 (-110)
    Padres / Diamondbacks U6.5 (-125)

    System-5
    Rockies +120

    Rockies are also a System-9 play but still just one unit.

    YTD
    Record: 8-3
    +$451.65

    GL Everybody
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    4/12

    System-1
    Dodgers / Pirates U7 (-110)
    Padres / Diamondbacks U6.5 (-125)

    System-5
    Rockies +120

    Rockies are also a System-9 play but still just one unit.

    YTD
    Record: 8-3
    +$451.65

    GL Everybody
     
    1958a
    1958a
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2012 - 11:06 AM ET #16

    looks great so far... it is hard work to go through all these systems. GL
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    looks great so far... it is hard work to go through all these systems. GL
     
    BCap888
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 8:23 AM ET #17

    4/12

    System-1
    Dodgers / Pirates U7 (-110) (W)
    Padres / Diamondbacks U6.5 (-125) (W)

    System-5
    Rockies +120 (L)

    4/11
    Record: 2-1
    +$70.91

    YTD
    Record: 10-4
    +$522.56

    I did a quick check last night and I didn't see any plays. The Cardinals Cubs game is a System 1 play but the Cardinals are still on an Under streak from when we last played them vs. the Reds. If there are any plays they'll be up shortly.

    GL Everybody.
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    4/12

    System-1
    Dodgers / Pirates U7 (-110) (W)
    Padres / Diamondbacks U6.5 (-125) (W)

    System-5
    Rockies +120 (L)

    4/11
    Record: 2-1
    +$70.91

    YTD
    Record: 10-4
    +$522.56

    I did a quick check last night and I didn't see any plays. The Cardinals Cubs game is a System 1 play but the Cardinals are still on an Under streak from when we last played them vs. the Reds. If there are any plays they'll be up shortly.

    GL Everybody.
     
    BCap888
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 8:32 AM ET #18

    4/13

    System-1
    Mariners / Athletics U6.5 (-120)

    System-5
    Cubs +180

    YTD
    Record: 10-4
    +$522.56

    There are a lot of System-1 plays today but only one with two "fresh" teams.

    The others are STL/CHC, LAD,/SDP, PIT/SF, WAS/CIN. I'm not playing them but they're there if you want them.

    GL Everybody let's keep rolling. 
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    4/13

    System-1
    Mariners / Athletics U6.5 (-120)

    System-5
    Cubs +180

    YTD
    Record: 10-4
    +$522.56

    There are a lot of System-1 plays today but only one with two "fresh" teams.

    The others are STL/CHC, LAD,/SDP, PIT/SF, WAS/CIN. I'm not playing them but they're there if you want them.

    GL Everybody let's keep rolling. 
     
    The Dog Catcher
    The Dog Catcher
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    Posts: 137
    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 6:12 PM ET #19

    How long does it take you to find all the plays?  Thanks for you all your work!
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    How long does it take you to find all the plays?  Thanks for you all your work!
     
    ricobond0046
    ricobond0046
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    Joined: Sep, 2009
    Posts: 455
    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 7:51 PM ET #20

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    BCap888
    BCap888
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    Posts: 823
    Posted: Apr. 13, 2012 - 8:15 PM ET #21

    Congrats to those who followed on the Cubbies! Didn't have a lot of confidence in that one myself honestly. And usually about 15 or 20 minutes Dog Catcher.
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    Congrats to those who followed on the Cubbies! Didn't have a lot of confidence in that one myself honestly. And usually about 15 or 20 minutes Dog Catcher.
     
    ricobond0046
    ricobond0046
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    Posts: 455
    Posted: Apr. 14, 2012 - 2:34 AM ET #22

    And the Unders BCapp. Good job.
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    And the Unders BCapp. Good job.
     
    BCap888
    BCap888
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    Posts: 823
    Posted: Apr. 14, 2012 - 9:45 AM ET #23

    4/13

    System-1
    Mariners / Athletics U6.5 (-120) (W)

    System-5
    Cubs +180 (W)

    4/13
    Record: 2-0
    +$263.33

    YTD
    Record: 12-4
    +$785.89

    Plays up soon if there are any.
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    4/13

    System-1
    Mariners / Athletics U6.5 (-120) (W)

    System-5
    Cubs +180 (W)

    4/13
    Record: 2-0
    +$263.33

    YTD
    Record: 12-4
    +$785.89

    Plays up soon if there are any.
     
    BCap888
    BCap888
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    Posts: 823
    Posted: Apr. 14, 2012 - 9:52 AM ET #24

    4/14

    System-5
    Indians +125

    System-8
    Athletics -110

    That's all we have for today. GL everyone.

    YTD
    Record: 12-4
    +$785.89
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    4/14

    System-5
    Indians +125

    System-8
    Athletics -110

    That's all we have for today. GL everyone.

    YTD
    Record: 12-4
    +$785.89
     
     
    Rafael1
    Rafael1
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2012
    Posts: 1
    Posted: Apr. 14, 2012 - 5:18 PM ET #25

    Hello! I have a few questions about your systems. Unfortunaly my english is not very good, so I don't understand some systems. Can you help me?
    For example, why do you bet Indians and Athletics today?

    System- 8

    Bet AGAINST a HOME FAV in a division game after losing by 3 or more if the line is between -110 and -130. (+10.2% ROI) +51.60 Units

    So, we bet againts Sietl, because Sietl-Oklend is a division game and Sietl lost last game 0-4 (more then 3). Am I right?

    And about Indians.

    System- 5

    Bet a team on the ML when they beat a division opponent by more than 4, their next game is against a division opponent and they’re a Dog. (+9.2 ROI) +83.71 Units

    We play on Indians because Indians won last game 8-3 (more than 4) and now is a Dog?

    And what is ML?

    Thank you for answers.



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    Hello! I have a few questions about your systems. Unfortunaly my english is not very good, so I don't understand some systems. Can you help me?
    For example, why do you bet Indians and Athletics today?

    System- 8

    Bet AGAINST a HOME FAV in a division game after losing by 3 or more if the line is between -110 and -130. (+10.2% ROI) +51.60 Units

    So, we bet againts Sietl, because Sietl-Oklend is a division game and Sietl lost last game 0-4 (more then 3). Am I right?

    And about Indians.

    System- 5

    Bet a team on the ML when they beat a division opponent by more than 4, their next game is against a division opponent and they’re a Dog. (+9.2 ROI) +83.71 Units

    We play on Indians because Indians won last game 8-3 (more than 4) and now is a Dog?

    And what is ML?

    Thank you for answers.



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