Freak Pics!!! (Week 10)

Jimmy, I see no difference with your boys other than venue in their last game with LSU.  Good luck, bud

The gift that keeps on giving......Cal. Golden Bears. 

Washington 

Weekday Results:

Thursday Night Games:

Eastern Michigan +10 (1st Half) @ Ohio  Push 

MTSU @ Western Kentucky UNDER 27.5 (1st Half) 

Friday Night Game:

Washington +4.5 @ California 

I also played UNDER 25.5 (1st Half), but didn't have time to post it.

I had an Alabama/LSU writeup about two thirds of the way complete, but just couldn't find the time to finish it and post it.  As you will see, I have two "Max Bets" associated with the Alabama/LSU game.  If you have questions about it I'll try to address them.  I may stay up late, finish the writeup, and post it.  We'll see.

There are a lot of bets I like this week, so I had a tough time narrowing them down.  For that reason the card is large and very "Best Bet" heavy, but these are plays I love, so I'm going to go ahead and post'em as I see'em

*** NOTE:  Does not include this week's weekday results.

Week 9 Final Results

Regular Bets: 10-4
Best Bets: 4-0
Max Bets: 0-0
UDMLs: 1-0

Year to date:

Regular Bets: 45-31-1
Best Bets: 24-8
Max Bets: 1-0
UDMLs: 3-5

Saturday Early Games:

Air Force @ Army Under 30.5 (1st Half) *** Best Bet ***

Georgia Tech @ Maryland UNDER 23.5 (1st Half)

New Mexico State @ Auburn UNDER 27 (1st Half)

New Mexico State +23 @ Auburn

Saturday Afternoon Games:

Florida Atlantic @ Navy  Over 51 *** Best Bet ***

Florida Atlantic @ Navy -16.5 *** Best Bet ***

Navy Team Total Over 34 *** Best Bet ***

Iowa @ Indiana -2

Pittsburgh Team Total Under 14

Mississippi +14 @ Georgia

Florida International -3.5 @ South Alabama

Saturday Afternoon Games:

Alabama -7.5 @ LSU *** Max Bet ***

LSU Team Total Under 16 *** Max Bet ***

Alabama @ LSU  Under 40 *** Best Bet ***

Thanks for posting.  Good luck with your plays Freak.

Jimmy doesnt like anything about LSU at all in this one

Alrighty then...

Jimmy. Thanks. I already locked in all your bama plays earlier but looks like ill be adding more to them. Ill be following all your best bets as well.

Absolutely love your armed forces capping. Navy should score way over 16.5

Edit* 34

No I don't. CalBear described it very well in his post above.  This game will play out very similar to the national championship game except I think the margin of victory will be greater.

Thanks for posting Jimmy.  My book has LSU TT 14.5, still a play?  I assume yes

You're pretty much right on except LSU is not as good on either side of the ball, and Alabama's offense is significantly improved.

Thank you for turning me on the the Washington/Cal under tonight, and best of luck with your card this week.



Best of luck with your card tomorrow

How many units are the best bets compared to the max bets?

Army can hold down Air Force Jimmy?

Jimmy nice picks, I was wondering if possible for both the Navy game and Bama game out of the three recommended picks which one would you take if you only wanted to take one. 

I thought about laying the 16.5 with Navy long and hard, and I really don't see how the Middies don't cover that number.  This game is very similar to the Air Force/Nevada game last week in that Florida Atlantic's players and coaches have zero experience defending the triple option.  Just like Air Force did to Nevada, Navy should score every time they don't fumble the ball away.  Air Force never punted against Nevada, and I don't think Navy will punt either.  I see no way Florida Atlantic can match scores with Navy in this game.  Navy should take this game over all by themselves.  That total is a gift!!!

Furthermore, Navy is at home fighting for a bowl bid.  They will show no mercy in this game.  I expect a final score of something like 56-24.

Yeah, would have liked to catch Indiana at -1 but I honestly don't think it'll make a difference.  I can't see Iowa's offense keeping pace with the Hoosiers.  This is a track meet and Iowa is running with a wooden leg.

You hit my Ole Miss angle right on the head.  I see this as a huge letdown spot for Georgia, and I also think Hugh Freeze vs. Mark Richt is a coaching mismatch in favor of Ole Miss.  Georgia will have their usual quota of 10-12 ridiculous penalties to keep their opponent in the game.  I didn't post it, but I'll also make a small ML play on the Rebels (I refuse to call them the Black Bears).

I stayed away from the 1st half under in the Alabama/LSU game as I usually do because Alabama's scoring is usually 1st half heavy.  If Alabama gets a sizable lead in the 1st half, the second half will pretty much always go under.

I have been missing out HUGE on KSU all season.    When it comes to your Wildcats I have the stomach disease called "NO GUTS."    I have played them twice this season - "Best Bet" against Kansas as I do every year, and faded them when they played Iowa State.  Man I would love to see them play Bama in the national championship game.  That would be awesome!!!  Bill Snyder vs. Nick Saban!!! 

Also what you think about the K-State and Oklahoma State game. I'm liking over 37.5 for Kansas State. 

YES!!!  Absolutely!!!  LSU won't sniff 14 points.

 PLS give me your thoughts on ECU/HOUS FG TOTAL

Best Bets are 5 Units.  Max Bets are 10-20 Units depending on how much money I have in the account.  Against Michigan it was 10 units because that all I had in the account.  Tomorrow will be 20.

Love your BAMA and UNDER plays Freak. I am following you on all. BOL this week . 

This game has only gone over 30 1st half points once in the past 5 years, and that year Air Force was exceptionally strong, and Army was exceptionally weak. 

Many bettors are over-estimating Air Force's offensive strength based on the Nevada game.  As I posted before that game, there was not a single player or coach on Nevada's team that had any experience defending the triple option.  The results were very predictable.  Obviously both Air Force and Army are intimately familiar with defending the triple option.

I think this game plays out very similar to the Air Force/Navy game earlier in the season in which Air Force scored 21 points.  I think Air Force improves upon that total in this game, but not significantly.  Should be a close game.