Today's NBA Picks

Golden State Golden State Logo at Houston Logo Houston
Pick - Prop
Alperen Sengun o35.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists (-115)
Best Odds -115

The Houston Rockets have struggled on offense in this series, but Alperen Sengun has been a lone bright spot. The big man is shooting 45.6% on a team-high 19.8 field goal attempts through the first four games, leading the Rockets with 22.3 points per contest. Not only has Sengun led the team in scoring, but he’s been Houston’s leading rebounder and a key facilitator, averaging 11.5 boards and 4.3 dimes. 

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Zak Hanshew - Pick Made 22 hrs, 25 min ago.

Golden State Golden State Logo at Houston Logo Houston
Pick - Prop
Fred VanVleet o4.5 Assists (-105)
Best Odds -105

For the series, VanVleet is generating 8.3 potential assists per contest with 4.5 of those actually converted into buckets. Tonight’s player projections are bullish on his passing prowess, with assist projections ranging from 5.0 to 8.2 dimes. My number for VanVleet is more tempered but still well above the 4.5-assist total, sitting at 6.3 helpers. That forecast should have the Over 4.5 assists priced around -290 instead of the -115 juice on this result. The Rockets do get to come back home for Game 5, which should help Houston’s ice-cold shooters warm up in the friendly confines of Toyota Center. Houston has shot just 43% from the field in the past four games, averaging just over 98 points. Any improvement will help VanVleet’s potential assists make it to the box score.

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Jason Logan - Pick Made 23 min ago.

Minnesota Minnesota Logo at L.A. Lakers Logo L.A. Lakers
Pick - Total
Minnesota at L.A. Lakers o209.5 (-110)

This total has not adjusted from Games 3 and 4, both cashing their Overs. Given the desperation that LA needs to show, this Over is a no-brainer. Its defense has been lackluster since Luka Doncic fully entered the rotation, ranking No. 17 in defensive rating from March 1 to the end of the regular season, now allowing three Minnesota Team Total Overs in four games. So LA’s offense needs to pick up the slack. Luka and LeBron should take that upon themselves. The pair combined for 65 points in Game 4, and there are no signs of the generous whistle slowing down for LeBron after he took 18 free throws in that last-minute loss. Meanwhile, Luka keeps chucking from deep, going 5-of-12 on Sunday.

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Douglas Farmer - Pick Made 16 hrs, 32 min ago.

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