The PGA Tour's fall season continues in Mexico this weekend with the 2023 World Wide Technology Championship at El Cardonal at Diamante.
With recent champions Russell Henley (2022) and Viktor Hovland (2020 and 2021) absent from the field, we could see a fairly fresh face come away with a victory.
Will it be Ludvig Aberg, who is drawing the shortest odds across the board? Or will someone from deep in the recesses of the field shock everyone?
Live odds to win 2023 World Wide Technology Championship
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World Wide Technology Championship picks and predictions
Ludvig Aberg over Cameron Young (-120)
Considering Ludvig Aberg’s run of form over the last three months (and beyond) and the fact Cam Young hasn’t made a start since the BMW Championship in August, all signs are pointing to the Swede.
And considering this line is well north of -130 at some books (-150 at bet365, -138 at Betway), I’m more than happy to snag Aberg at -120.
This is a guy who tops the field in total strokes gained over the last six months and has Young beat in every major category except for on approach, where Young edges him out by just one spot.
If this was Aberg’s third or fourth consecutive start, I’d be more concerned about this being a letdown spot, but two weeks off should bode well for him in Mexico.
Young’s game has dropped off since his rookie season and when you factor in the 2+ months between starts, I expect there to be some rust. Even if he comes out firing, he’ll have to outperform one of the hottest golfers alive. Either way, I like the Scandinavian’s chances.
Pick: Ludvig Aberg over Cameron Young (-120 at Unibet)
J.J. Spaun to finish 30th or better (-120)
This part of the schedule routinely allows your everyday Tour pro to find some form and among those is J.J. Spaun, who posted five Top 20s and a T25 in seven starts between October and mid-January last season.
This time around, he’s gone T11, T46, and T6 in three starts and comes to Mayakoba where he’s gotten the better of this number five times in seven career tries (T15 last year, career-best T3 in 2018).
While his putting (103rd in the field in the last six months) can hold him back from consistent contention, he’s nails as a ball-striker (fourth on approach, fifth tee-to-green) and has a pretty high floor as a result, having missed just one cut since the PGA in May.
With the course history and decent form factored in, I see this line as at least a couple of places too high and expect him to take advantage.
Pick: J.J. Spaun to finish 30th or better (-120 at bet365)
World Wide Technology field and favorites
Ludvig Aberg (+900) is drawing the shortest odds in a muted field that is somewhat lacking in star power.
Perhaps part of the reason for the helium stems from his showings at the Ryder Cup, where he paired with Viktor Hovland to take down Scottie Scheffler and Brooks Koepka by the largest winning margin in an 18-hole match at the event, and the Sanderson Farms Championship, where he was a joint runner-up to Luke List, falling short in a five-man playoff.
And yet, he's not the top-ranked golfer in the OWGR playing in the tournament.
Cameron Young (+1,100-+1,200) is ranked 16th in the world (best in the field) and is second on the odds board. He was last seen finishing T15 at the BMW Championship in late August. The fast-rising 26-year-old is making his first trip to the WWT Championship.
The only other golfer in the Top 30 in the field is Sahith Theegala (29th). He can be found as long as +1,600 to win and has been looking sharp since missing three straight cuts at the end of July.
In four tournaments from early August onward, he hasn't finished worse than T19 (at the ZOZO in late October) and came away with a victory at the Fortinet Championship in mid-September.
Lucas Glover, Emiliano Grillo, and Chris Kirk are the other Top-50 golfers in the field.
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World Wide Technology Championship recent winners and odds history
Let's take a look at some recent World Wide Technology Championship — previously known as the Mayakoba Golf Classic and OHL at Mayakoba — winners and their closing odds to win:
Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.
World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba FAQ
Ludvig Aberg is the industry consensus betting favorite (+900) to win the 2023 World Wide Technology Championship.
The 2023 World Wide Technology Championship will be held from November 2-5 at El Cardonal at Diamante.
The purse for the 2023 World Wide Technology Championship is $8.2 million with the winner taking home $1.476 million.