2023 Memorial Tournament Picks & Odds: Tracking the Action at Muirfield Village

With just two events left before the U.S. Open, the field for the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village is stacked. The top of the odds board includes a red-hot Scottie Scheffler, 2020 Memorial winner Jon Rahm, two-time champ Patrick Cantlay, and more.

Last Updated: Jun 1, 2023 12:35 PM ET Read Time: 4 min

There are just two events standing between us and the U.S. Open at LACC, the first of which is the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club.

Known as one of the best player experiences on the PGA Tour, this event doesn't have trouble pulling top stars and 2023 is no different, with each of the OWGR Top 5 in the field this week.

We break down the field and more in our Memorial Tournament betting preview below, including live golf odds, free golf picks, and more. 

Odds to win 2023 Memorial Tournament

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Memorial Tournament picks and predictions

Patrick Cantlay Top 10 (+125 at bet365)

Sitting higher on the odds board than normal, Cantlay is getting some extra attention this week. And considering the two-time champ is likely in possession of the best overall Memorial resume in the field, it’s certainly deserved. 

On top of the victories in 2019 and 2021, Cantlay has three other finishes of T7 or better in his last six starts here. If you include a T32 in 2020, he’s got an average finish of 8.0 since 2018; take that finish away and that number becomes 3.2. 

And only strengthening his case this week is his form that despite being without a win since August, is as good as anyone on the PGA Tour right now. He hasn’t finished worse than T21 in his last nine starts and six of those were Top 10s.

The handicap here is pretty simple and considering this line is shading closer and closer to EVEN money at most books, I’ll gladly take the +125 with someone who could very easily be staring down his third win here on Sunday.

Emiliano Grillo over Chris Kirk (-110 at DraftKings)

Let’s ride the hot hand here. Prior to a missed cut at Oak Hill, Grillo went T7 at the RBC Heritage, T5 in Mexico, and T23 at the Wells Fargo. He then got back into the Winner’s Circle for the first time since late 2015 with a win at Colonial last week.

In an extension of some encouraging putting and ball-striking performances over the last few weeks, he ranked second in the field in strokes gained putting at the CSC (+7.44 for the event) and sixth in strokes gained approach (+4.68). 

Kirk, meanwhile, missed the cut at Colonial and went just T29-T36-T41 in his three prior starts. His results at Muirfield don’t instill much confidence either, with a handful of missed cuts and nothing better than T26 in seven starts here since 2015.

Grillo bested Kirk here a year ago (T32, T53) and should do so again given the momentum he has coming off last week’s victory. 

Memorial Tournament field and favorites

As mentioned at the onset, we'll get to see each of the OWGR Top 5 tee it up this week. Those five are also taking up the Top 5 spots on the odds board.

That starts with World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler (+650), who stayed red hot with a T3 finish at Colonial over the weekend. He didn't play here a year ago but did finish third back in 2021, and if he can knock in some putts, he's clearly the guy to beat. 

2020 Memorial winner (and should be two-time champ) Jon Rahm (+700) is returning after a week off, while Patrick Cantlay (+1,000) looks to make it three wins here at Muirfield Village. On top of the victories in 2019 and 2021, he also finished T3 a year ago, T7 in 2020, and fourth in 2018. This week may be the perfect storm for a guy who enters in great form. 

Rory McIlroy (opened at +1,200) is sitting outside of the Top 3 on the odds board for the first time in a long time and while his game is in a weird spot right now, he did finish T7 at the PGA Championship. He's never won this tournament but does have seven Top 20s in 11 career tries. 

Rounding out the Top 5 is Xander Schauffele at 14/1. His T18 finish at Oak Hill was actually his worst result since THE PLAYERS in March so the form is as good as it gets considering we're creeping up on a year since his last win. He combines that with five straight Top 20s here at Muirfield Village, albeit nothing better than T11.

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Memorial Tournament recent winners and odds history

Let's take a look at some recent Memorial Tournament winners and their closing odds to win:

Year Golfer Closing odds
2022 Billy Horschel +6,000
2021 Patrick Cantlay (2) +2,000
2020 Jon Rahm +2,000
2019 Patrick Cantlay +1,400
2018 Bryson DeChambeau +4,000
2017 Jason Dufner +6,000
2016 William McGirt +55,000
2015 David Lingmerth +30,000
2014 Hideki Matsuyama +5,000
2013 Matt Kuchar +1,500
2012 Tiger Woods (5) +1,200
2011 Steve Stricker +2,500
2010 Justin Rose +6,000

Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.

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